Who will win the AL Central in 2015?
To answer this question, I aggregated win total predictions in my first article for the Detroit News. I’ll bring a numbers based perspective on the Tigers all season (every other week early in the season, once a month when college football picks up in August).
The model combines the markets with 6 different predictions based on analytics. The ensemble predicts a dead heat between the Tigers and Indians atop the AL Central, as their win totals differ by less than half a run.
I’ll say more about this ensemble model in a few weeks, but here are the results for all 30 MLB teams.
1. Washington, 93.4.
2. Los Angeles Dodgers, 92.7.
3. St. Louis, 88.5.
4. Los Angeles Angels, 87.6.
5. Seattle, 87.2.
6. Boston, 86.2.
7. Pittsburgh, 84.2.
8. Cleveland, 83.9.
9. Detroit, 83.6.
10. Chicago Cubs, 83.4.
11. San Diego, 83.3.
12. San Francisco, 83.2.
13. Oakland, 82.9.
14. Toronto, 82.3.
15. Baltimore, 81.9.
16. New York Yankees, 81.3.
17. New York Mets, 81.2.
18. Tampa Bay, 80.7.
19. Miami, 80.7.
20. Kansas City, 80.3.
21. Chicago White Sox, 79.5.
22. Milwaukee, 78.8.
23. Cincinnati, 77.2.
24. Houston, 75.9.
25. Texas, 75.8.
26. Colorado, 72.5.
27. Atlanta, 72.3.
28. Minnesota, 72.3.
29. Arizona, 72.0.
30. Philadelphia, 68.5.
[…] the first two months of the season, I’ll combine preseason expectations with these team rankings based on the current season. You can always find the most current rankings […]