It started with team rankings that take margin of victory and adjust for strength of schedule. Back in 2008, I developed an algorithm that makes these adjustments.
These numbers can help you win your March Madness pool. The higher ranked college basketball team has won 71.5% of tournament games (699-279) from 2002 through 2016.
Based on these numbers, I send a March Madness cheat sheet to my free email newsletter. You can also check out a sample of my book How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool.
To sign up for this free service, enter your best email address and click on “Sign up now!”
These are a sample of my member predictions based on adjusted efficiency, or points per possession. These predictions also account for pace.
To get all of these predictions the night before games, contact me here.
Tuesday, February 21, 2017.
Purdue will beat Penn State by 7.5 on the road.
Florida will beat South Carolina by 9.1 at home.
Virginia Tech will beat Clemson by 3.3 at home.
Baylor will beat Oklahoma by 12.4 at home.
Dayton will beat George Mason by 11.8 at home.
Northwestern will beat Illinois by 1.8 on the road.
Wichita State will beat Evansville by 18.0 at home.
Marquette will beat St. John’s by 8.5 at home.
Kentucky will beat Missouri by 14.2 on the road.
Indiana will beat Iowa by 0.3 on the road.
During the 2015 season, these college football predictions predicted the winner in 76.2% of games (583-182, doesn’t include cupcakte FBS vs FCS games).
National Football League
Major League Baseball
National Basketball Association
To see my numbers prior to the start of the playoffs, check out the interactive visual for NBA win probabilities.
My rankings were a part of an academic study on making football predictions.
To check out my Euro 2016 win probabilities before the knock out stage started, click here.