The Power Rank uses data and analytics to make accurate predictions for football and March Madness. I developed these methods based on my PhD in applied math from Stanford.
Data Driven Betting Information
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Major League Baseball
These predictions are based on my MLB team rankings and the projected FIP (adjusted ERA) for each starting pitcher according to ZiPS.
To check out an interview with ZiPS creator Dan Szymborski, click here.
Since Apr 01, 2021, the team with the higher win probability has won 854 of 1517 games for a win percentage of 56.3%.
The team favored by the markets has won 875.0 of 1517 games for a win percentage of 57.7%.
Games on Wednesday, July 28, 2021.
Using replacement level fip for Wily Peralta
Detroit (Wily Peralta, 5.00) at Minnesota (J.A. Happ, 4.71).
Minnesota (23) has a 53.6 chance to beat Detroit (25).
St. Louis (Kwang-hyun Kim, 4.08) at Cleveland (Zach Plesac, 4.53).
St. Louis (17) has a 58.2 chance to beat Cleveland (24).
Toronto (Robbie Ray, 4.13) at Boston (Garrett Richards, 4.50).
Toronto (5) has a 56.6 chance to beat Boston (13).
Houston (Jake Odorizzi, 4.32) at Seattle (Yusei Kikuchi, 4.45).
Houston (3) has a 65.7 chance to beat Seattle (21).
Oakland (Sean Manaea, 3.85) at San Diego (Blake Snell, 3.80).
San Diego (4) has a 57.0 chance to beat Oakland (15).
Using replacement level fip for Nestor Cortes
New York Yankees (Nestor Cortes, 5.00) at Tampa Bay (Michael Wacha, 4.76).
Tampa Bay (8) has a 52.1 chance to beat New York Yankees (7).
Miami (Jordan Holloway, 4.79) at Baltimore (Jorge Lopez, 4.90).
Miami (14) has a 63.0 chance to beat Baltimore (30).
Using replacement level fip for
Milwaukee (Adrian Houser, 4.46) at Pittsburgh (, 5.00).
Milwaukee (10) has a 64.7 chance to beat Pittsburgh (26).
Washington (Patrick Corbin, 4.23) at Philadelphia (Zack Wheeler, 3.42).
Philadelphia (16) has a 53.9 chance to beat Washington (11).
Atlanta (Max Fried, 3.85) at New York Mets (Tylor Megill, 4.38).
Atlanta (6) has a 55.8 chance to beat New York Mets (12).
Toronto (Steven Matz, 4.56) at Boston (Tanner Houck, 4.76).
Toronto (5) has a 55.3 chance to beat Boston (13).
Arizona (Madison Bumgarner, 4.80) at Texas (Jordan Lyles, 5.23).
Arizona (29) has a 50.5 chance to beat Texas (27).
Cincinnati (Tyler Mahle, 4.22) at Chicago Cubs (Zach Davies, 4.49).
Cincinnati (20) has a 51.0 chance to beat Chicago Cubs (19).
Chicago White Sox (Lucas Giolito, 3.24) at Kansas City (Kris Bubic, 4.89).
Chicago White Sox (9) has a 74.3 chance to beat Kansas City (28).
Colorado (Chi Chi Gonzalez, 5.72) at Los Angeles Angels (Andrew Heaney, 3.92).
Los Angeles Angels (18) has a 66.4 chance to beat Colorado (22).
Los Angeles Dodgers (Walker Buehler, 3.19) at San Francisco (Anthony DeSclafani, 4.02).
Los Angeles Dodgers (1) has a 56.4 chance to beat San Francisco (2).
In the 2021 season, this section will display a sample of my best NFL predictions usually reserved for paying members of The Power Rank.
During the 2021 season, this section will display a sample of my best college football predictions usually reserved for paying members of The Power Rank.