Predictions

The Power Rank uses data and analytics to make accurate predictions for football and March Madness. I developed these methods based on my PhD in applied math from Stanford.

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NFL, Divisional Playoff

These predictions are based on my team rankings that take margin of victory in games and adjust for schedule. There is also a preseason component whose weight diminishes with every week.

Members of The Power Rank have access to more accurate predictions. To learn more, click here.

1. Seattle at Green Bay.
Green Bay (8) will beat Seattle (9) by 3.0 at home. Seattle has a 40% chance of beating Green Bay.

2. Minnesota at San Francisco.
San Francisco (3) will beat Minnesota (7) by 4.7 at home. Minnesota has a 35% chance of beating San Francisco.

3. Tennessee at Baltimore.
Baltimore (1) will beat Tennessee (10) by 7.8 at home. Tennessee has a 27% chance of beating Baltimore.

4. Houston at Kansas City.
Kansas City (2) will beat Houston (12) by 7.5 at home. Houston has a 27% chance of beating Kansas City.

College Football Bowl Games

These predictions are a combination of my preseason model and team rankings (margin of victory adjusted for strength of schedule) from this year.

Members of The Power Rank have access to more accurate predictions and my complete bowl pool advice. To learn more, click here.

1. LSU versus Clemson at a neutral site.
Clemson (1) will beat LSU (2) by 2.5 at a neutral site. LSU has a 42% chance of beating Clemson.

Major League Baseball

The matchup shows the projected FIP (adjusted ERA) for each starting pitcher according to ZiPS.

The integer in parentheses gives the team’s rank in The Power Rank, which now include data from the current season.

From Apr 10, 2019 through the World Series, the team with the higher win probability has won 1381 of 2329 games for a win percentage of 59.3%.

The team favored by the markets has won 1403.0 of 2329 games for a win percentage of 60.2%.

World Soccer Football

College basketball

These college basketball predictions come from my points based team rankings.

National Basketball Association

To get details on my NBA model for 2018 and series win win probability before the NBA Finals, click here.