The Power Rank uses data and analytics to make accurate predictions for football and March Madness. I developed these methods based on my PhD in applied math from Stanford.
Sports betting with the PhD edge
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NFL
This is a sample of my best predictions usually saved for paying members of The Power Rank. To learn more about becoming a member, click here.
New Orleans at Carolina.
New Orleans will beat Carolina by 3.5 on the road (61.0% chance to win).
Minnesota at Arizona.
Arizona will beat Minnesota by 3.3 at home (60.4% chance to win).
Atlanta at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay will beat Atlanta by 12.6 at home (83.4% chance to win).
College Football
This is a sample of my best predictions usually saved for paying members of The Power Rank. To learn more about becoming a member, click here.
Virginia Tech at West Virginia.
Virginia Tech will beat West Virginia by 0.2 on the road (50.6% chance to win).
SMU at Louisiana Tech.
SMU will beat Louisiana Tech by 12.9 on the road (82.5% chance to win).
Northwestern at Duke.
Northwestern will beat Duke by 4.3 on the road (62.6% chance to win).
Arkansas State at Washington.
Washington will beat Arkansas State by 19.1 at home (90.8% chance to win).
Florida International at Texas Tech.
Texas Tech will beat Florida International by 20.4 at home (92.0% chance to win).
Rice at Texas.
Texas will beat Rice by 25.8 at home (95.7% chance to win).
San Jose State at Hawaii.
San Jose State will beat Hawaii by 2.1 on the road (56.3% chance to win).
Major League Baseball
These predictions are based on my MLB team rankings and the projected FIP (adjusted ERA) for each starting pitcher according to ZiPS.
To check out an interview with ZiPS creator Dan Szymborski, click here.
Since Apr 01, 2021, the team with the higher win probability has won 1286 of 2242 games for a win percentage of 57.4%.
The team favored by the markets has won 1318.0 of 2242 games for a win percentage of 58.8%.
Games on Monday, September 20, 2021.
Kansas City (Brady Singer, 4.40) at Cleveland (Triston McKenzie, 4.53).
Cleveland (21) has a 52.6 chance to beat Kansas City (25).
Chicago White Sox (Carlos Rodon, 3.61) at Detroit (Matt Manning, 4.46).
Chicago White Sox (8) has a 67.1 chance to beat Detroit (24).
Pittsburgh (Dillon Peters, 4.73) at Cincinnati (Vladimir Gutierrez, 5.44).
Cincinnati (17) has a 56.0 chance to beat Pittsburgh (29).
Washington (Erick Fedde, 4.87) at Miami (Jesus Luzardo, 4.55).
Miami (18) has a 51.1 chance to beat Washington (16).
Baltimore (John Means, 4.81) at Philadelphia (Ranger Suarez, 3.80).
Philadelphia (13) has a 70.9 chance to beat Baltimore (30).
Using replacement level fip for A.J. Alexy
Using replacement level fip for Nestor Cortes Jr.
Texas (A.J. Alexy, 5.00) at New York Yankees (Nestor Cortes Jr., 5.00).
New York Yankees (9) has a 64.9 chance to beat Texas (27).
Toronto (Robbie Ray, 3.80) at Tampa Bay (Shane Baz, 5.99).
Toronto (4) has a 68.5 chance to beat Tampa Bay (7).
Using replacement level fip for
Using replacement level fip for
Kansas City (, 5.00) at Cleveland (, 5.00).
Cleveland (21) has a 53.5 chance to beat Kansas City (25).
St. Louis (Jake Woodford, 5.34) at Milwaukee (Freddy Peralta, 3.62).
Milwaukee (6) has a 67.5 chance to beat St. Louis (15).
Houston (Framber Valdez, 4.06) at Los Angeles Angels (Jaime Barria, 5.23).
Houston (3) has a 70.5 chance to beat Los Angeles Angels (20).
Atlanta (Huascar Ynoa, 4.49) at Arizona (Humberto Mejia, 5.21).
Atlanta (5) has a 70.1 chance to beat Arizona (28).
Seattle (Tyler Anderson, 4.56) at Oakland (Sean Manaea, 3.99).
Oakland (14) has a 61.1 chance to beat Seattle (23).