Predictions

The Power Rank uses data and analytics to make accurate predictions for football and March Madness. I developed these methods based on my Ph.D. in applied math from Stanford.

To get my March Madness cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket, sign up for my free email newsletter.

“As March Madness approaches again, I reflect on my perfect 3 for 3 in landing in the money since I started using your public predictions. After finishing first in a 50 person pool last year, the ROI is ridiculous and the bragging rights are the best.”

— Scott Pacheco, Washington DC

To get this free service, enter your best email and click on “Sign up now!”








 

 
 

College basketball

These college basketball predictions come from my points based team rankings.

Members of The Power Rank have access to more accurate predictions as well as my complete bracket advice.  To learn more, click here.

Round of 64 games.

1. Oklahoma versus Mississippi at a neutral site.
Oklahoma (36) will beat Mississippi (37) by 0.1 at a neutral site. Mississippi has a 49% chance of beating Oklahoma.

2. Baylor versus Syracuse at a neutral site.
Syracuse (35) will beat Baylor (40) by 0.5 at a neutral site. Baylor has a 48% chance of beating Syracuse.

3. Iowa versus Cincinnati at a neutral site.
Cincinnati (32) will beat Iowa (38) by 0.6 at a neutral site. Iowa has a 47% chance of beating Cincinnati.

4. Florida versus Nevada at a neutral site.
Nevada (21) will beat Florida (30) by 1.8 at a neutral site. Florida has a 41% chance of beating Nevada.

5. Washington versus Utah State at a neutral site.
Utah State (39) will beat Washington (49) by 1.1 at a neutral site. Washington has a 44% chance of beating Utah State.

6. UCF versus VCU at a neutral site.
VCU (33) will beat UCF (50) by 1.6 at a neutral site. UCF has a 42% chance of beating VCU.

7. Seton Hall versus Wofford at a neutral site.
Wofford (28) will beat Seton Hall (47) by 2.7 at a neutral site. Seton Hall has a 36% chance of beating Wofford.

8. Minnesota versus Louisville at a neutral site.
Louisville (18) will beat Minnesota (44) by 4.4 at a neutral site. Minnesota has a 29% chance of beating Louisville.

9. Murray State versus Marquette at a neutral site.
Marquette (26) will beat Murray State (52) by 3.9 at a neutral site. Murray State has a 31% chance of beating Marquette.

10. Belmont versus Maryland at a neutral site.
Maryland (22) will beat Belmont (51) by 4.1 at a neutral site. Belmont has a 30% chance of beating Maryland.

11. St. Mary’s versus Villanova at a neutral site.
Villanova (24) will beat St. Mary’s (53) by 4.2 at a neutral site. St. Mary’s has a 29% chance of beating Villanova.

12. Ohio State versus Iowa State at a neutral site.
Iowa State (15) will beat Ohio State (43) by 4.9 at a neutral site. Ohio State has a 27% chance of beating Iowa State.

13. Oregon versus Wisconsin at a neutral site.
Wisconsin (13) will beat Oregon (42) by 5.2 at a neutral site. Oregon has a 26% chance of beating Wisconsin.

14. Arizona State versus Buffalo at a neutral site.
Buffalo (16) will beat Arizona State (55) by 6.0 at a neutral site. Arizona State has a 23% chance of beating Buffalo.

15. New Mexico State versus Auburn at a neutral site.
Auburn (12) will beat New Mexico State (56) by 6.7 at a neutral site. New Mexico State has a 20% chance of beating Auburn.

16. Liberty versus Mississippi State at a neutral site.
Mississippi State (25) will beat Liberty (66) by 6.1 at a neutral site. Liberty has a 22% chance of beating Mississippi State.

17. Northeastern versus Kansas at a neutral site.
Kansas (17) will beat Northeastern (75) by 8.1 at a neutral site. Northeastern has a 16% chance of beating Kansas.

18. UC Irvine versus Kansas State at a neutral site.
Kansas State (23) will beat UC Irvine (92) by 7.8 at a neutral site. UC Irvine has a 17% chance of beating Kansas State.

19. Saint Louis versus Virginia Tech at a neutral site.
Virginia Tech (14) will beat Saint Louis (86) by 9.2 at a neutral site. Saint Louis has a 13% chance of beating Virginia Tech.

20. Yale versus LSU at a neutral site.
LSU (19) will beat Yale (89) by 8.8 at a neutral site. Yale has a 14% chance of beating LSU.

21. Vermont versus Florida State at a neutral site.
Florida State (11) will beat Vermont (85) by 9.7 at a neutral site. Vermont has a 12% chance of beating Florida State.

22. Old Dominion versus Purdue at a neutral site.
Purdue (10) will beat Old Dominion (90) by 10.4 at a neutral site. Old Dominion has a 10% chance of beating Purdue.

23. Georgia State versus Houston at a neutral site.
Houston (20) will beat Georgia State (108) by 9.7 at a neutral site. Georgia State has a 12% chance of beating Houston.

24. Northern Kentucky versus Texas Tech at a neutral site.
Texas Tech (9) will beat Northern Kentucky (103) by 12.7 at a neutral site. Northern Kentucky has a 7% chance of beating Texas Tech.

25. Colgate versus Tennessee at a neutral site.
Tennessee (8) will beat Colgate (126) by 14.6 at a neutral site. Colgate has a 5% chance of beating Tennessee.

26. Gardner-Webb versus Virginia at a neutral site.
Virginia (1) will beat Gardner-Webb (154) by 20.6 at a neutral site. Gardner-Webb has a 1% chance of beating Virginia.

27. Bradley versus Michigan State at a neutral site.
Michigan State (3) will beat Bradley (148) by 19.2 at a neutral site. Bradley has a 2% chance of beating Michigan State.

28. Montana versus Michigan at a neutral site.
Michigan (6) will beat Montana (143) by 17.3 at a neutral site. Montana has a 3% chance of beating Michigan.

29. Abilene Christian versus Kentucky at a neutral site.
Kentucky (7) will beat Abilene Christian (161) by 17.3 at a neutral site. Abilene Christian has a 3% chance of beating Kentucky.

30. Farleigh Dickinson versus Gonzaga at a neutral site.
Gonzaga (4) will beat Farleigh Dickinson (202) by 22.0 at a neutral site. Farleigh Dickinson has a 1% chance of beating Gonzaga.

31. Iona versus North Carolina at a neutral site.
North Carolina (5) will beat Iona (208) by 22.1 at a neutral site. Iona has a 1% chance of beating North Carolina.

32. North Dakota State versus Duke at a neutral site.
Duke (2) will beat North Dakota State (235) by 24.8 at a neutral site. North Dakota State has a 1% chance of beating Duke.

NFL

College Football

These predictions based on adjusted margin of victory have predicted the winner in 74.5% of games straight up during the 2016 and 2017 seasons (1133-388). This record does not include any cupcake FBS vs FCS games.

NFL Draft by Wisdom of Crowds

To check out my wisdom of crowds predictions for the 2018 NFL Draft, click here.

International Soccer/Football

My rankings were a part of an academic study on making football predictions.

Major League Baseball

National Basketball Association

To get details on my NBA model for 2018 and series win win probability before the NBA Finals, click here.