Predictions

The Power Rank uses data and analytics to make accurate American football and basketball predictions.

MLB predictions are below.

NFL Win Totals

You want an early grasp of the NFL season? Not only preseason rankings but also win totals?

Unlike other analytics sites, I take a wisdom of crowds approach to the NFL preseason. This is inspired by the preseason college football polls, as the higher ranked team in the Coaches Poll has won 61.3% of bowl games the past 13 seasons.

Aggregating subjective power rankings posted on various media sites leads to this wisdom of crowds model. You can take a look at all 32 win totals by signing up for my free email newsletter.

I’ll also mail you a copy of my booklet The Surprising Truth About Passing and Rushing in the NFL, which will help you save time in NFL handicapping.

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Major League Baseball

The matchup shows the projected FIP (adjusted ERA) for each starting pitcher according to ZiPS. The integer in parentheses gives the team’s rank in The Power Rank.

Since Apr 09, 2018, the team with the higher win probability has won 761 of 1308 games for a win percentage of 58.2%.

The team favored by the markets has won 767.0 of 1308 games for a win percentage of 58.6%.

Games on Friday, July 20, 2018.

St. Louis (Jack Flaherty, 4.05) at Chicago Cubs (Jon Lester, 3.92).
Chicago Cubs (4) has a 58.9 chance to beat St. Louis (14).

Atlanta (Anibal Sanchez, 4.24) at Washington (Stephen Strasburg, 3.13).
Washington (10) has a 57.0 chance to beat Atlanta (7).

San Diego (Clayton Richard, 4.29) at Philadelphia (Jake Arrieta, 4.11).
Philadelphia (12) has a 61.9 chance to beat San Diego (25).

Pittsburgh (Jameson Taillon, 3.56) at Cincinnati (Tyler Mahle, 4.73).
Pittsburgh (19) has a 58.0 chance to beat Cincinnati (21).

Los Angeles Dodgers (Rich Hill, 4.05) at Milwaukee (Wade Miley, 4.59).
Los Angeles Dodgers (5) has a 56.2 chance to beat Milwaukee (9).

Colorado (German Marquez, 4.46) at Arizona (Robbie Ray, 3.64).
Arizona (13) has a 58.9 chance to beat Colorado (18).

Baltimore (Dylan Bundy, 4.30) at Toronto (Sam Gaviglio, 5.06).
Toronto (20) has a 57.1 chance to beat Baltimore (29).

Boston (David Price, 3.77) at Detroit (Matt Boyd, 4.53).
Boston (3) has a 73.3 chance to beat Detroit (27).

Cleveland (Trevor Bauer, 3.24) at Texas (Martin Perez, 4.50).
Cleveland (8) has a 66.3 chance to beat Texas (24).

Minnesota (Kyle Gibson, 4.18) at Kansas City (Danny Duffy, 4.25).
Minnesota (23) has a 61.3 chance to beat Kansas City (30).

Houston (Dallas Keuchel, 3.58) at Los Angeles Angels (Tyler Skaggs, 3.55).
Houston (1) has a 62.4 chance to beat Los Angeles Angels (15).

Chicago White Sox (James Shields, 5.02) at Seattle (Wade LeBlanc, 4.30).
Seattle (17) has a 68.7 chance to beat Chicago White Sox (28).

New York Mets (Noah Syndergaard, 2.61) at New York Yankees (Domingo German, 4.55).
New York Yankees (2) has a 56.7 chance to beat New York Mets (22).

Miami (Dan Straily, 5.16) at Tampa Bay (Nathan Eovaldi, 4.24).
Tampa Bay (6) has a 70.9 chance to beat Miami (26).

San Francisco (Dereck Rodriguez, 5.40) at Oakland (Edwin Jackson, 5.29).
Oakland (11) has a 54.0 chance to beat San Francisco (16).

NFL Draft by Wisdom of Crowds

To check out my wisdom of crowds predictions for the 2018 NFL Draft, click here.

International Soccer/Football

My rankings were a part of an academic study on making football predictions.

College Basketball

College Football

These predictions based on the team rankings have predicted the winner in 74.5% of games during the 2016 and 2017 seasons (1133-388). This record does not include any cupcake FBS vs FCS games.

NFL

National Basketball Association

To get details on my NBA model for 2018 and series win win probability before the NBA Finals, click here.