Predictions

The Power Rank uses data and analytics to make accurate predictions for football and March Madness. I developed these methods based on my PhD in applied math from Stanford.

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College basketball

This is a sample of my member predictions that combine data efficiency, markets and a preseason component. To learn more about how the efficiency prediction works, check out my ultimate guide to predictive college basketball analytics.

The number in parentheses is the rank for the team based on these numbers. This rank will not necessarily be the same as those on my college basketball team rankings, which take margin of victory and adjust for schedule.

Members have access to these predictions for all games the day before they happen. To learn more, click here.

Thursday, March 12, 2020.

Creighton (22) will beat St. John’s (86) by 6.8 (neutral site).

Michigan (19) will beat Rutgers (35) by 2.0 (neutral site).

Akron (90) will beat Ohio (158) by 5.3 (neutral site).

Florida State (8) will beat Clemson (62) by 6.9 (neutral site).

Texas Tech (15) will beat Texas (61) by 5.8 (neutral site).

UCF (109) will beat South Florida (111) by 0.1 (neutral site).

Tennessee (46) will beat Alabama (53) by 1.1 (neutral site).

Iowa (28) will beat Minnesota (42) by 1.9 (neutral site).

Kansas (1) will beat Oklahoma State (56) by 11.0 (neutral site).

Duke (2) will beat North Carolina State (47) by 8.5 (neutral site).

Oregon (17) will beat Oregon State (68) by 6.3 (neutral site).

Florida (18) will beat Georgia (78) by 6.5 (neutral site).

Portland State (204) will beat Montana State (252) by 2.4 (neutral site).

UCSB (150) will beat UC Riverside (216) by 4.1 (neutral site).

Grand Canyon (217) will beat Missouri Kansas City (241) by 1.2 (neutral site).

Arizona (9) will beat USC (60) by 6.7 (neutral site).

Davidson (79) will beat La Salle (186) by 8.1 (neutral site).

Ohio State (13) will beat Purdue (24) by 2.0 (neutral site).

Baylor (5) will beat Kansas State (76) by 9.9 (neutral site).

Villanova (16) will beat DePaul (92) by 8.4 (neutral site).

Virginia (23) will beat Notre Dame (45) by 2.6 (neutral site).

North Texas (102) will beat Florida Atlantic (192) by 6.0 (neutral site).

Nicholls (224) will beat Lamar (274) by 2.8 (neutral site).

Penn State (26) will beat Indiana (37) by 1.6 (neutral site).

Louisville (6) will beat Syracuse (51) by 5.8 (neutral site).

West Virginia (7) will beat Oklahoma (38) by 4.5 (neutral site).

Seton Hall (20) will beat Marquette (31) by 1.2 (neutral site).

Memphis (59) will beat East Carolina (197) by 10.3 (neutral site).

College Football

Major League Baseball

The matchup shows the projected FIP (adjusted ERA) for each starting pitcher according to ZiPS.

The integer in parentheses gives the team’s rank in The Power Rank, which now include data from the current season.

From Apr 10, 2019 through the World Series, the team with the higher win probability has won 1381 of 2329 games for a win percentage of 59.3%.

The team favored by the markets has won 1403.0 of 2329 games for a win percentage of 60.2%.

NFL

World Soccer Football

These college basketball predictions come from my points based team rankings.

National Basketball Association

To get details on my NBA model for 2018 and series win win probability before the NBA Finals, click here.