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College Football Week 5
For the first few weeks of the season, these predictions are based on my preseason college football rankings. Later in the season, these predictions add in my team rankings that take margin of victory and adjust for schedule.
Members of The Power Rank have access to more accurate college football predictions that consider a wider variety of data sources.
1. Texas A&M at Mississippi State.
Mississippi State (15) will beat Texas A&M (14) by 1.5 at home. Texas A&M has a 45% chance of beating Mississippi State.
2. Oklahoma at TCU.
Oklahoma (8) will beat TCU (21) by 2.3 on the road. TCU has a 43% chance of beating Oklahoma.
3. Oklahoma State at Baylor.
Baylor (29) will beat Oklahoma State (23) by 1.6 at home. Oklahoma State has a 45% chance of beating Baylor.
4. Michigan State at Maryland.
Michigan State (26) will beat Maryland (37) by 0.5 on the road. Maryland has a 49% chance of beating Michigan State.
5. Washington at UCLA.
UCLA (27) will beat Washington (25) by 2.2 at home. Washington has a 43% chance of beating UCLA.
6. Kentucky at Mississippi.
Mississippi (10) will beat Kentucky (16) by 5.7 at home. Kentucky has a 33% chance of beating Mississippi.
7. SMU at UCF.
UCF (44) will beat SMU (42) by 2.4 at home. SMU has a 43% chance of beating UCF.
8. North Carolina State at Clemson.
Clemson (4) will beat North Carolina State (19) by 9.6 at home. North Carolina State has a 24% chance of beating Clemson.
9. Alabama at Arkansas.
Alabama (2) will beat Arkansas (20) by 12.3 on the road. Arkansas has a 19% chance of beating Alabama.
10. Michigan at Iowa.
Michigan (5) will beat Iowa (39) by 8.5 on the road. Iowa has a 27% chance of beating Michigan.
11. Illinois at Wisconsin.
Wisconsin (45) will beat Illinois (50) by 3.5 at home. Illinois has a 40% chance of beating Wisconsin.
12. LSU at Auburn.
LSU (7) will beat Auburn (48) by 8.4 on the road. Auburn has a 27% chance of beating LSU.
13. California at Washington State.
Washington State (70) will beat California (56) by 0.0 at home. California has a 50% chance of beating Washington State.
14. Oregon State at Utah.
Utah (28) will beat Oregon State (46) by 6.1 at home. Oregon State has a 33% chance of beating Utah.
15. Wake Forest at Florida State.
Florida State (18) will beat Wake Forest (41) by 6.9 at home. Wake Forest has a 30% chance of beating Florida State.
16. Tulane at Houston.
Houston (54) will beat Tulane (51) by 2.0 at home. Tulane has a 44% chance of beating Houston.
17. Texas Tech at Kansas State.
Kansas State (24) will beat Texas Tech (49) by 6.9 at home. Texas Tech has a 30% chance of beating Kansas State.
18. Iowa State at Kansas.
Iowa State (36) will beat Kansas (68) by 3.5 on the road. Kansas has a 40% chance of beating Iowa State.
19. Purdue at Minnesota.
Minnesota (6) will beat Purdue (33) by 12.2 at home. Purdue has a 19% chance of beating Minnesota.
20. Cincinnati at Tulsa.
Cincinnati (12) will beat Tulsa (69) by 10.4 on the road. Tulsa has a 22% chance of beating Cincinnati.
21. Indiana at Nebraska.
Indiana (64) will beat Nebraska (79) by 1.9 on the road. Nebraska has a 44% chance of beating Indiana.
22. South Alabama at Louisiana.
South Alabama (74) will beat Louisiana (83) by 0.6 on the road. Louisiana has a 48% chance of beating South Alabama.
23. West Virginia at Texas.
Texas (13) will beat West Virginia (57) by 12.7 at home. West Virginia has a 18% chance of beating Texas.
24. UTSA at Middle Tennessee.
Middle Tennessee (77) will beat UTSA (76) by 1.3 at home. UTSA has a 46% chance of beating Middle Tennessee.
25. Stanford at Oregon.
Oregon (32) will beat Stanford (62) by 8.8 at home. Stanford has a 26% chance of beating Oregon.
26. Georgia at Missouri.
Georgia (1) will beat Missouri (73) by 25.0 on the road. Missouri has a 5% chance of beating Georgia.
27. Troy at Western Kentucky.
Western Kentucky (55) will beat Troy (72) by 5.7 at home. Troy has a 34% chance of beating Western Kentucky.
28. Virginia at Duke.
Virginia (58) will beat Duke (82) by 4.1 on the road. Duke has a 38% chance of beating Virginia.
29. Florida Atlantic at North Texas.
Florida Atlantic (87) will beat North Texas (103) by 1.2 on the road. North Texas has a 46% chance of beating Florida Atlantic.
30. Central Michigan at Toledo.
Central Michigan (81) will beat Toledo (102) by 2.4 on the road. Toledo has a 43% chance of beating Central Michigan.
31. Miami (OH) at Buffalo.
Buffalo (96) will beat Miami (OH) (92) by 1.8 at home. Miami (OH) has a 45% chance of beating Buffalo.
32. Louisville at Boston College.
Louisville (43) will beat Boston College (90) by 9.4 on the road. Boston College has a 24% chance of beating Louisville.
33. Liberty at Old Dominion.
Liberty (66) will beat Old Dominion (97) by 5.8 on the road. Old Dominion has a 33% chance of beating Liberty.
34. Arizona State at USC.
USC (17) will beat Arizona State (78) by 16.8 at home. Arizona State has a 12% chance of beating USC.
35. Rutgers at Ohio State.
Ohio State (3) will beat Rutgers (99) by 34.6 at home. Rutgers has a 2% chance of beating Ohio State.
36. Virginia Tech at North Carolina.
North Carolina (38) will beat Virginia Tech (84) by 13.2 at home. Virginia Tech has a 17% chance of beating North Carolina.
37. Colorado at Arizona.
Arizona (95) will beat Colorado (98) by 3.3 at home. Colorado has a 40% chance of beating Arizona.
38. Northwestern at Penn State.
Penn State (11) will beat Northwestern (94) by 23.5 at home. Northwestern has a 6% chance of beating Penn State.
39. East Carolina at South Florida.
East Carolina (71) will beat South Florida (108) by 7.1 on the road. South Florida has a 30% chance of beating East Carolina.
40. Navy at Air Force.
Air Force (53) will beat Navy (93) by 12.3 at home. Navy has a 19% chance of beating Air Force.
41. Georgia State at Army.
Army (80) will beat Georgia State (104) by 7.9 at home. Georgia State has a 28% chance of beating Army.
42. San Jose State at Wyoming.
Wyoming (88) will beat San Jose State (107) by 6.7 at home. San Jose State has a 31% chance of beating Wyoming.
43. San Diego State at Boise State.
Boise State (60) will beat San Diego State (100) by 12.8 at home. San Diego State has a 18% chance of beating Boise State.
44. Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh (31) will beat Georgia Tech (106) by 19.2 at home. Georgia Tech has a 9% chance of beating Pittsburgh.
45. UTEP at Charlotte.
UTEP (116) will beat Charlotte (122) by 2.4 on the road. Charlotte has a 43% chance of beating UTEP.
46. Utah State at Brigham Young.
Brigham Young (40) will beat Utah State (105) by 17.6 at home. Utah State has a 11% chance of beating Brigham Young.
47. Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina.
Coastal Carolina (75) will beat Georgia Southern (110) by 11.1 at home. Georgia Southern has a 21% chance of beating Coastal Carolina.
48. UAB at Rice.
UAB (63) will beat Rice (118) by 11.6 on the road. Rice has a 20% chance of beating UAB.
49. Bowling Green at Akron.
Bowling Green (115) will beat Akron (126) by 4.4 on the road. Akron has a 37% chance of beating Bowling Green.
50. Northern Illinois at Ball State.
Northern Illinois (86) will beat Ball State (120) by 8.7 on the road. Ball State has a 26% chance of beating Northern Illinois.
51. Ohio at Kent State.
Kent State (89) will beat Ohio (117) by 9.7 at home. Ohio has a 24% chance of beating Kent State.
52. New Mexico at UNLV.
UNLV (91) will beat New Mexico (121) by 12.8 at home. New Mexico has a 18% chance of beating UNLV.
53. Louisiana Monroe at Arkansas State.
Arkansas State (112) will beat Louisiana Monroe (127) by 10.2 at home. Louisiana Monroe has a 23% chance of beating Arkansas State.
54. Temple at Memphis.
Memphis (67) will beat Temple (123) by 20.5 at home. Temple has a 8% chance of beating Memphis.
55. Texas State at James Madison.
James Madison (59) will beat Texas State (124) by 22.8 at home. Texas State has a 6% chance of beating James Madison.
56. Fresno State at Connecticut.
Fresno State (61) will beat Connecticut (129) by 22.5 on the road. Connecticut has a 6% chance of beating Fresno State.
57. Florida International at New Mexico State.
New Mexico State (128) will beat Florida International (131) by 12.5 at home. Florida International has a 18% chance of beating New Mexico State.
58. Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan.
Eastern Michigan (113) will beat Massachusetts (130) by 17.1 at home. Massachusetts has a 11% chance of beating Eastern Michigan.
NFL Week 4
These early season predictions come from a wisdom of crowds model that aggregates subjective power rankings. To see the full rankings from this model, check out the public NFL rankings page.
In 2022, the team rankings based on margin of victory from the current has a very large spread of teams. This will correct itself in a few weeks.
Members of The Power Rank have access to more accurate predictions.
1. Buffalo at Baltimore.
Buffalo (2) will beat Baltimore (7) by 2.8 on the road. Baltimore has a 42% chance of beating Buffalo.
2. Miami at Cincinnati.
Cincinnati (12) will beat Miami (9) by 0.9 at home. Miami has a 47% chance of beating Cincinnati.
3. Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco.
San Francisco (13) will beat Los Angeles Rams (11) by 0.2 at home. Los Angeles Rams has a 49% chance of beating San Francisco.
4. Kansas City at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay (5) will beat Kansas City (8) by 5.0 at home. Kansas City has a 36% chance of beating Tampa Bay.
5. Washington at Dallas.
Washington (10) will beat Dallas (18) by 1.7 on the road. Dallas has a 45% chance of beating Washington.
6. Denver at Las Vegas.
Denver (16) will beat Las Vegas (23) by 2.2 on the road. Las Vegas has a 43% chance of beating Denver.
7. Jacksonville at Philadelphia.
Philadelphia (1) will beat Jacksonville (14) by 12.0 at home. Jacksonville has a 19% chance of beating Philadelphia.
8. Minnesota versus New Orleans at a neutral site.
Minnesota (4) will beat New Orleans (21) by 8.2 at a neutral site. New Orleans has a 27% chance of beating Minnesota.
9. New England at Green Bay.
Green Bay (3) will beat New England (19) by 9.4 at home. New England has a 25% chance of beating Green Bay.
10. Chicago at New York Giants.
New York Giants (29) will beat Chicago (27) by 1.1 at home. Chicago has a 47% chance of beating New York Giants.
11. Arizona at Carolina.
Carolina (24) will beat Arizona (26) by 2.9 at home. Arizona has a 41% chance of beating Carolina.
12. Tennessee at Indianapolis.
Indianapolis (17) will beat Tennessee (25) by 5.5 at home. Tennessee has a 34% chance of beating Indianapolis.
13. New York Jets at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh (22) will beat New York Jets (28) by 4.9 at home. New York Jets has a 36% chance of beating Pittsburgh.
14. Cleveland at Atlanta.
Cleveland (20) will beat Atlanta (31) by 4.6 on the road. Atlanta has a 37% chance of beating Cleveland.
15. Los Angeles Chargers at Houston.
Los Angeles Chargers (15) will beat Houston (30) by 6.4 on the road. Houston has a 32% chance of beating Los Angeles Chargers.
16. Seattle at Detroit.
Detroit (6) will beat Seattle (32) by 15.0 at home. Seattle has a 14% chance of beating Detroit.
Major League Baseball
These predictions will be posted until the All Star break. New predictions are posted around 10pm Eastern the night before games.