These computer NFL rankings take margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule. The rating gives an expected margin of victory against an average NFL team on a neutral site.
To make more accurate predictions, these team rankings are combined with preseason model based on wisdom of crowds. This preseason component gets less weight with each passing week.
| Rk | Team | Rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo | 6.53 | 14-4-0 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | 6.33 | 14-5-0 |
| 3 | Philadelphia | 6.28 | 16-3-0 |
| 4 | Kansas City | 5.92 | 16-3-0 |
| 5 | San Francisco | 4.70 | 15-5-0 |
| 6 | Dallas | 3.87 | 13-6-0 |
| 7 | Baltimore | 2.54 | 10-8-0 |
| 8 | Green Bay | 1.01 | 8-9-0 |
| 9 | Miami | 0.77 | 9-9-0 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Chargers | 0.58 | 10-8-0 |
| 11 | Jacksonville | 0.55 | 10-9-0 |
| 12 | Detroit | 0.30 | 9-8-0 |
| 13 | Cleveland | 0.09 | 7-10-0 |
| 14 | New England | -0.11 | 8-9-0 |
| 15 | Minnesota | -0.12 | 13-5-0 |
| 16 | Pittsburgh | -0.49 | 9-8-0 |
| 17 | New Orleans | -0.68 | 7-10-0 |
| 18 | Tampa Bay | -0.76 | 8-10-0 |
| 19 | Washington | -0.93 | 8-8-1 |
| 20 | New York Jets | -1.27 | 7-10-0 |
| 21 | Las Vegas | -1.35 | 6-11-0 |
| 22 | Denver | -1.80 | 5-12-0 |
| 23 | Tennessee | -1.97 | 7-10-0 |
| 24 | New York Giants | -1.97 | 10-8-1 |
| 25 | Carolina | -2.21 | 7-10-0 |
| 26 | Seattle | -2.91 | 9-9-0 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Rams | -2.94 | 5-12-0 |
| 28 | Atlanta | -3.16 | 7-10-0 |
| 29 | Indianapolis | -4.00 | 4-12-1 |
| 30 | Arizona | -4.28 | 4-13-0 |
| 31 | Chicago | -6.03 | 3-14-0 |
| 32 | Houston | -7.19 | 3-13-1 |