These computer NFL rankings take margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule. The rating gives an expected margin of victory against an average NFL team on a neutral site.
To make more accurate predictions, these team rankings are combined with preseason model based on wisdom of crowds. This preseason component gets less weight with each passing week.
| Rk | Team | Rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City | 7.11 | 3-1-0 |
| 2 | San Francisco | 6.14 | 4-0-0 |
| 3 | Buffalo | 6.07 | 3-1-0 |
| 4 | Philadelphia | 5.26 | 4-0-0 |
| 5 | Baltimore | 4.19 | 3-1-0 |
| 6 | Dallas | 4.13 | 3-1-0 |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 3.84 | 1-3-0 |
| 8 | Miami | 2.88 | 3-1-0 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Chargers | 2.54 | 2-2-0 |
| 10 | Jacksonville | 2.16 | 2-2-0 |
| 11 | Detroit | 2.06 | 3-1-0 |
| 12 | New York Jets | 2.00 | 1-3-0 |
| 13 | Cleveland | 0.85 | 2-2-0 |
| 14 | Seattle | 0.65 | 3-1-0 |
| 15 | Minnesota | -0.03 | 1-3-0 |
| 16 | Pittsburgh | -0.25 | 2-2-0 |
| 17 | New York Giants | -0.95 | 1-3-0 |
| 18 | New England | -1.30 | 1-3-0 |
| 19 | New Orleans | -1.50 | 2-2-0 |
| 20 | Green Bay | -2.19 | 2-2-0 |
| 21 | Washington | -2.27 | 2-2-0 |
| 22 | Denver | -2.28 | 1-3-0 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Rams | -2.68 | 2-2-0 |
| 24 | Atlanta | -2.77 | 2-2-0 |
| 25 | Las Vegas | -3.12 | 1-3-0 |
| 26 | Tennessee | -3.14 | 2-2-0 |
| 27 | Indianapolis | -4.01 | 2-2-0 |
| 28 | Houston | -4.07 | 2-2-0 |
| 29 | Chicago | -4.10 | 0-4-0 |
| 30 | Tampa Bay | -4.17 | 3-1-0 |
| 31 | Carolina | -4.50 | 0-4-0 |
| 32 | Arizona | -6.57 | 1-3-0 |