These computer NFL rankings take margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule. The rating gives an expected margin of victory against an average NFL team on a neutral site.
To make more accurate predictions, these team rankings are combined with preseason model based on wisdom of crowds. This preseason component gets less weight with each passing week.
Rk | Team | Rating | Record |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Buffalo | 6.53 | 14-4-0 |
2 | Cincinnati | 6.33 | 14-5-0 |
3 | Philadelphia | 6.28 | 16-3-0 |
4 | Kansas City | 5.92 | 16-3-0 |
5 | San Francisco | 4.70 | 15-5-0 |
6 | Dallas | 3.87 | 13-6-0 |
7 | Baltimore | 2.54 | 10-8-0 |
8 | Green Bay | 1.01 | 8-9-0 |
9 | Miami | 0.77 | 9-9-0 |
10 | Los Angeles Chargers | 0.58 | 10-8-0 |
11 | Jacksonville | 0.55 | 10-9-0 |
12 | Detroit | 0.30 | 9-8-0 |
13 | Cleveland | 0.09 | 7-10-0 |
14 | New England | -0.11 | 8-9-0 |
15 | Minnesota | -0.12 | 13-5-0 |
16 | Pittsburgh | -0.49 | 9-8-0 |
17 | New Orleans | -0.68 | 7-10-0 |
18 | Tampa Bay | -0.76 | 8-10-0 |
19 | Washington | -0.93 | 8-8-1 |
20 | New York Jets | -1.27 | 7-10-0 |
21 | Las Vegas | -1.35 | 6-11-0 |
22 | Denver | -1.80 | 5-12-0 |
23 | Tennessee | -1.97 | 7-10-0 |
24 | New York Giants | -1.97 | 10-8-1 |
25 | Carolina | -2.21 | 7-10-0 |
26 | Seattle | -2.91 | 9-9-0 |
27 | Los Angeles Rams | -2.94 | 5-12-0 |
28 | Atlanta | -3.16 | 7-10-0 |
29 | Indianapolis | -4.00 | 4-12-1 |
30 | Arizona | -4.28 | 4-13-0 |
31 | Chicago | -6.03 | 3-14-0 |
32 | Houston | -7.19 | 3-13-1 |