NFL Rankings

These computer NFL rankings take margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule. The rating gives an expected margin of victory against an average NFL team on a neutral site.

To make more accurate predictions, these team rankings are combined with preseason model based on wisdom of crowds. This preseason component gets less weight with each passing week.

Rk Team Rating Record
1 New England 7.44 8-1-0
2 San Francisco 5.36 8-1-0
3 Baltimore 5.09 7-2-0
4 Kansas City 4.88 6-4-0
5 Minnesota 4.07 7-3-0
6 Green Bay 3.96 8-2-0
7 Los Angeles Rams 3.51 5-4-0
8 New Orleans 3.44 7-2-0
9 Seattle 2.99 8-2-0
10 Houston 2.68 6-3-0
11 Pittsburgh 2.45 5-4-0
12 Dallas 2.06 5-4-0
13 Los Angeles Chargers 1.84 4-6-0
14 Philadelphia 1.57 5-4-0
15 Chicago 1.35 4-5-0
16 Carolina 1.01 5-4-0
17 Indianapolis 0.15 5-4-0
18 Cleveland -0.07 3-6-0
19 Tennessee -0.86 5-5-0
20 Detroit -1.51 3-5-1
21 Tampa Bay -1.52 3-6-0
22 Oakland -1.68 5-4-0
23 Denver -1.71 3-6-0
24 Buffalo -1.91 6-3-0
25 Atlanta -1.91 2-7-0
26 Jacksonville -2.07 4-5-0
27 Arizona -4.17 3-6-1
28 Washington -6.90 1-8-0
29 New York Giants -7.05 2-8-0
30 New York Jets -7.26 2-7-0
31 Cincinnati -7.31 0-9-0
32 Miami -9.20 2-7-0