Members: The NFL Draft, Part 1
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Podcast: Julian Packer on modeling and betting props
On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I’m joined by Julian Packer, professional sports bettor and founder of Betstamp. Among other topics, we discuss:
- How he models and bets props (4:13)
- Whether the market for player points or three pointers is more efficient (8:14)
- Whether sharps find more value on overs or unders (12:11)
- The differences between basketball and football (18:11)
- How to prevent bet limits by sportsbooks (20:53)
- How to track your bets with Betstamp (23:52)
Professionals don’t often talk this much about their methods, so I hope you enjoy this conversation with Julian.
To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.
To listen on Apple podcasts, click here.
To download the mp3 file, click here.
Podcast: Colin Davy on analytics for The Masters and Jeopardy
On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I talk with Colin Davy, a data scientist at Facebook that runs his own, proprietary golf model. He has also won Jeopardy and the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference Hackathon twice.
Among other topics, we discuss:
- How his golf model depends on Markov chains, and he incorporates the course and age in his predictions (6:03)
- Why Colin chooses not to use Shot Link data in his model (13:32)
- How much the course at Augusta matters (19:43)
- Colin’s surprising favorite to win the 2021 Masters (23:25)
- The other markets that Colin likes (24:43)
- Colin’s unique approach to becoming a Jeopardy champion (28:51)
The Jeopardy story is one of my favorites in all time of data science. Check out his full write up here.
To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.
To download the mp3 file, click here.
Podcast: Jordan Sperber on College Basketball Analytics and Strategy
On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I’m joined by Jordan Sperber, college basketball analytics expert and founder of Hoop Vision. Among other topics, we discuss:
- How a study on match ups got him a head start in the analytics world (4:07)
- Jordan’s experience on a college basketball staff (10:50)
- How he started Hoop Vision (14:36)
- Houston’s unique style of play (19:37)
- Can a team avoid regression in 3 point field defense? (24:46)
- Can Baylor fix their defensive struggles? (29:33)
- The one thing that makes Gonzaga great (32:32)
- Putting Baylor in perspective (36:18)
We end with a discussion of the history of the game and how strategy has changed (39:57).
To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.
To download the mp3 file, click here.
Member: Final Four analysis
This content is for members only