World Football / Soccer Rankings

To check out win, loss, tie probabilities for the 2017 Confederation’s Cup, click here.

These rankings, which are updated daily, consider margin of victory when adjusting for strength of schedule in international soccer / football.

The rankings use a 4 year window of matches and weight matches by their importance, e.g. a World Cup match has 4 times the weight of a friendly.

The predictions based on these rankings performed well in an academic study of world football/soccer rankings.


Rk Team Rating Record
1 Brazil 2.37 47-8-12
2 Germany 2.31 42-9-12
3 France 2.03 38-13-10
4 Argentina 1.98 37-8-17
5 Chile 1.91 35-19-16
6 Spain 1.82 38-11-8
7 Belgium 1.78 36-8-9
8 Colombia 1.77 32-12-15
9 England 1.73 31-9-14
10 Netherlands 1.70 29-15-12
11 Portugal 1.67 39-11-10
12 Uruguay 1.61 31-19-10
13 Italy 1.51 29-11-21
14 United States 1.37 52-21-18
15 Croatia 1.35 27-12-11
16 Ecuador 1.34 20-22-14
17 Mexico 1.30 50-19-27
18 Ukraine 1.29 27-10-8
19 Serbia 1.27 20-13-9
20 Peru 1.23 24-19-11
21 Poland 1.21 23-9-14
22 Switzerland 1.20 29-10-9
23 Sweden 1.20 25-16-12
24 Denmark 1.19 21-14-12
25 Costa Rica 1.18 36-18-24
26 Wales 1.16 17-10-12
27 Iceland 1.09 23-19-11
28 Republic of Ireland 1.08 18-15-19
29 Slovakia 1.08 23-11-11
30 Paraguay 1.01 10-23-14
31 Turkey 1.00 26-12-11
32 Russia 0.99 22-15-12
33 Austria 0.97 17-13-11
34 Ghana 0.93 34-22-20
35 Bosnia-Herzegovina 0.90 24-13-7
36 Ivory Coast 0.88 31-18-22
37 Scotland 0.86 16-12-8
38 Algeria 0.85 28-15-10
39 Nigeria 0.83 34-16-22
40 Japan 0.80 36-15-11
41 Iran 0.77 32-6-13
42 Egypt 0.77 29-15-6
43 Romania 0.77 17-11-16
44 Senegal 0.76 27-10-18
45 Slovenia 0.75 15-19-7
46 Northern Ireland 0.75 18-14-10
47 Australia 0.74 23-20-13
48 Czech Republic 0.73 18-16-11
49 Morocco 0.69 28-13-20
50 Venezuela 0.69 11-23-15
51 Greece 0.69 16-15-15
52 Panama 0.63 25-25-27
53 South Korea 0.59 33-20-10
54 Cameroon 0.56 31-17-26
55 Albania 0.56 15-17-9
56 South Africa 0.53 35-15-30
57 Congo DR 0.48 28-19-21
58 Burkina Faso 0.45 26-22-23
59 Hungary 0.44 16-14-14
60 Tunisia 0.43 23-16-21
61 Montenegro 0.43 10-14-8
62 Guinea 0.38 22-14-16
63 Israel 0.38 11-16-6
64 Bulgaria 0.36 14-16-4
65 Finland 0.35 10-20-11
66 Zambia 0.35 31-19-35
67 Honduras 0.31 27-34-22
68 Bolivia 0.30 9-25-9
69 Cape Verde Islands 0.25 15-9-8
70 Mali 0.24 23-21-22
71 Saudi Arabia 0.23 25-15-8
72 Georgia 0.23 7-22-9
73 Uganda 0.22 32-21-17
74 Jamaica 0.20 18-29-11
75 Uzbekistan 0.18 29-17-10
76 United Arab Emirates 0.18 35-15-12
77 Belarus 0.15 15-19-12
78 Armenia 0.13 9-22-5
79 Norway 0.10 14-24-10
80 FYR Macedonia 0.09 10-25-5
81 China 0.07 22-14-17
82 Zimbabwe 0.06 26-16-20
83 Canada 0.04 11-20-16
84 Gabon 0.01 16-21-23
85 Qatar -0.02 39-23-14
86 Libya -0.05 14-16-12
87 Congo -0.10 15-20-12
88 Kenya -0.17 18-11-18
89 Jordan -0.17 28-21-21
90 Equatorial Guinea -0.17 6-10-7
91 Iraq -0.18 24-26-15
92 Cyprus -0.18 8-21-4
93 Haiti -0.18 12-20-5
94 Trinidad and Tobago -0.20 17-26-14
95 Syria -0.22 19-14-10
96 Togo -0.24 12-18-10
97 Benin -0.27 9-10-9
98 Rwanda -0.27 17-22-10
99 Estonia -0.31 19-22-12
100 Mauritania -0.32 16-20-9
101 El Salvador -0.32 11-28-14
102 Oman -0.33 25-18-16
103 Azerbaijan -0.33 10-17-13
104 Luxembourg -0.33 6-24-9
105 Moldova -0.37 7-27-12
106 Angola -0.38 12-21-19
107 Kuwait -0.41 17-14-13
108 Namibia -0.42 17-17-12
109 Sierra Leone -0.43 7-12-6
110 Mozambique -0.44 17-22-17
111 Kazakhstan -0.44 9-21-10
112 Lithuania -0.48 8-21-9
113 Burundi -0.48 11-11-13
114 Tanzania -0.51 13-21-20
115 Latvia -0.52 6-22-13
116 Madagascar -0.52 14-8-10
117 Malawi -0.53 16-21-13
118 Liberia -0.55 8-10-3
119 Guatemala -0.57 11-19-11
120 Botswana -0.59 16-27-11
121 Nicaragua -0.62 11-20-6
122 Ethiopia -0.64 16-26-11
123 Comoros -0.67 4-12-8
124 Bahrain -0.71 20-15-20
125 Niger -0.74 9-22-13
126 Swaziland -0.74 10-18-13
127 North Korea -0.77 13-11-10
128 Lebanon -0.80 11-15-21
129 Guinea-Bissau -0.81 5-11-6
130 Lesotho -0.83 11-25-18
131 Thailand -0.84 23-22-8
132 Sudan -0.86 8-23-9
133 New Zealand -0.86 12-13-8
134 Faroe Islands -0.86 5-20-3
135 Malta -0.93 4-30-5
136 Chad -0.98 4-7-1
137 Palestine -1.00 17-11-10
138 Gambia -1.01 4-10-6
139 Curacao -1.08 9-6-6
140 Vietnam -1.28 17-11-9
141 Belize -1.28 3-16-7
142 Indonesia -1.28 12-14-10
143 Liechtenstein -1.29 2-28-5
144 Philippines -1.35 22-18-9
145 Turkmenistan -1.36 7-12-2
146 St. Kitts and Nevis -1.39 12-6-6
147 Kyrgyzstan -1.40 11-13-8
148 Hong Kong -1.40 15-15-11
149 Central African Republic -1.41 3-10-3
150 Mauritius -1.52 6-21-9
151 Andorra -1.56 2-29-3
152 Antigua and Barbuda -1.58 12-7-2
153 Cuba -1.69 5-15-3
154 Suriname -1.70 6-6-1
155 Montserrat -1.73 1-1-1
156 Singapore -1.80 17-27-8
157 Bermuda -1.86 4-4-3
158 Barbados -1.87 7-8-4
159 Yemen -1.87 6-23-9
160 Sao Tome and Principe -1.91 2-12-0
161 Tajikistan -1.94 12-12-6
162 India -1.99 19-13-6
163 Seychelles -2.02 4-20-3
164 Dominican Republic -2.05 6-9-1
165 Myanmar -2.09 15-21-9
166 New Caledonia -2.11 5-5-4
167 South Sudan -2.15 6-14-4
168 Guyana -2.15 6-6-4
169 Malaysia -2.19 13-25-14
170 St. Lucia -2.19 8-9-4
171 Puerto Rico -2.23 3-8-5
172 Afghanistan -2.26 18-16-9
173 Grenada -2.29 7-12-7
174 Cayman Islands -2.29 0-1-2
175 Guam -2.35 6-14-6
176 Papua New Guinea -2.53 5-7-3
177 St. Vincent / Grenadines -2.59 11-15-6
178 Eritrea -2.59 0-5-0
179 Maldives -2.66 12-20-5
180 Fiji -2.76 4-6-5
181 Pakistan -2.85 6-8-3
182 Solomon Islands -2.87 5-11-2
183 Tahiti -2.91 4-6-2
184 Dominica -2.93 4-11-7
185 Chinese Taipei -2.99 10-20-4
186 Gibraltar -3.00 0-9-0
187 Cambodia -3.00 13-30-4
188 Aruba -3.08 4-7-1
189 Nepal -3.11 5-15-9
190 San Marino -3.13 0-29-1
191 Vanuatu -3.33 3-2-1
192 Somalia -3.36 0-10-0
193 Netherlands Antilles -3.52 1-1-0
194 Laos -3.64 9-23-9
195 US Virgin Islands -3.67 1-6-0
196 Bangladesh -3.68 6-18-8
197 Macau -3.70 3-10-6
198 Djibouti -4.07 1-15-0
199 Timor-Leste -4.14 2-16-4
200 Brunei Darussalum -4.35 2-9-1
201 Sri Lanka -4.41 3-15-2
202 Bhutan -4.83 3-18-1
203 American Samoa -4.85 2-2-0
204 Turks and Caicos Islands -4.90 1-3-0
205 Mongolia -4.94 1-9-1
206 British Virgin Islands -5.12 0-6-1
207 Cook Islands -5.21 2-1-0
208 Anguilla -5.58 0-7-0
209 Samoa -5.76 2-4-0
210 Bahamas -5.86 0-2-0
211 Tonga -6.90 0-4-0