World Football / Soccer Rankings

To check out win, loss, tie probabilities for the 2017 Confederation’s Cup, click here.

These rankings, which are updated daily, consider margin of victory when adjusting for strength of schedule in international soccer / football.

The rankings use a 4 year window of matches and weight matches by their importance, e.g. a World Cup match has 4 times the weight of a friendly.

The predictions based on these rankings performed well in an academic study of world football/soccer rankings.


Rk Team Rating Record
1 Brazil 2.39 46-8-11
2 Germany 2.28 37-9-12
3 Chile 2.06 35-16-14
4 Argentina 2.04 37-8-15
5 France 1.99 37-13-9
6 Netherlands 1.83 28-14-12
7 Belgium 1.80 34-8-9
8 Colombia 1.80 32-12-13
9 Spain 1.74 36-11-8
10 England 1.72 29-9-14
11 Uruguay 1.62 30-19-9
12 Portugal 1.62 35-11-9
13 Italy 1.61 28-10-21
14 Ecuador 1.42 19-20-14
15 Croatia 1.42 27-11-11
16 United States 1.39 47-20-16
17 Mexico 1.36 44-16-25
18 Poland 1.32 22-8-14
19 Ukraine 1.31 26-9-8
20 Peru 1.23 22-19-11
21 Serbia 1.22 18-13-9
22 Switzerland 1.21 27-10-9
23 Sweden 1.20 24-15-12
24 Costa Rica 1.20 33-17-22
25 Republic of Ireland 1.16 18-14-18
26 Wales 1.12 15-10-12
27 Iceland 1.10 22-18-11
28 Slovakia 1.09 22-10-11
29 Turkey 1.06 25-11-11
30 Austria 1.05 17-12-10
31 Russia 1.03 22-14-12
32 Bosnia-Herzegovina 0.99 23-12-7
33 Denmark 0.98 19-14-12
34 Algeria 0.97 28-12-10
35 Paraguay 0.95 9-21-14
36 Ghana 0.93 33-19-18
37 Ivory Coast 0.92 29-16-22
38 Czech Republic 0.84 18-14-11
39 Senegal 0.83 25-9-15
40 Scotland 0.82 14-12-8
41 Iran 0.82 32-6-11
42 Nigeria 0.81 32-15-21
43 Egypt 0.80 28-14-5
44 Japan 0.79 35-14-11
45 Romania 0.78 16-10-16
46 Australia 0.77 22-19-12
47 Greece 0.73 16-14-14
48 Slovenia 0.73 14-18-7
49 Northern Ireland 0.70 16-14-10
50 Cameroon 0.66 29-15-25
51 South Africa 0.64 31-11-29
52 Venezuela 0.63 11-23-13
53 Panama 0.63 23-23-26
54 South Korea 0.61 33-20-8
55 Morocco 0.60 27-13-18
56 Albania 0.56 14-17-8
57 Congo DR 0.52 27-18-18
58 Burkina Faso 0.44 25-21-19
59 Hungary 0.43 15-13-14
60 Tunisia 0.43 22-16-20
61 Israel 0.42 11-14-6
62 Mali 0.36 22-19-19
63 Montenegro 0.34 8-14-8
64 Guinea 0.34 18-12-16
65 Bulgaria 0.34 13-15-4
66 Honduras 0.32 26-32-20
67 Finland 0.28 9-20-11
68 Bolivia 0.26 8-24-9
69 Armenia 0.23 9-20-5
70 Belarus 0.23 15-17-12
71 Uzbekistan 0.21 29-16-9
72 Uganda 0.20 29-19-16
73 United Arab Emirates 0.18 34-14-12
74 Zambia 0.18 24-18-33
75 Saudi Arabia 0.17 24-14-8
76 Norway 0.16 13-23-10
77 Georgia 0.15 7-22-7
78 Jamaica 0.14 16-27-9
79 Cape Verde Islands 0.11 13-9-8
80 Qatar 0.07 37-21-14
81 Gabon 0.04 15-20-23
82 Zimbabwe 0.02 21-15-19
83 Canada 0.02 11-19-14
84 China 0.02 20-14-17
85 FYR Macedonia 0.01 9-25-4
86 Congo -0.04 15-19-9
87 Trinidad and Tobago -0.09 17-23-14
88 Libya -0.14 12-15-12
89 Haiti -0.15 12-20-5
90 Equatorial Guinea -0.15 6-10-7
91 Jordan -0.17 27-21-20
92 Kenya -0.17 18-11-17
93 Lithuania -0.18 8-19-9
94 Iraq -0.21 22-26-15
95 Togo -0.22 11-17-8
96 Cyprus -0.25 7-20-4
97 Kazakhstan -0.25 9-19-10
98 Rwanda -0.26 15-21-8
99 Azerbaijan -0.26 9-16-13
100 Benin -0.28 8-9-7
101 El Salvador -0.28 11-26-13
102 Moldova -0.28 7-25-12
103 Mauritania -0.29 14-18-8
104 Estonia -0.33 18-22-11
105 Oman -0.34 23-18-16
106 Angola -0.35 8-21-16
107 Latvia -0.36 6-20-13
108 Syria -0.38 17-14-9
109 Kuwait -0.40 17-14-13
110 Mozambique -0.40 16-20-15
111 Sierra Leone -0.42 7-11-5
112 Burundi -0.47 11-11-12
113 Namibia -0.48 14-14-11
114 Liberia -0.49 7-9-3
115 Malawi -0.51 15-20-11
116 Guatemala -0.51 11-19-11
117 Botswana -0.54 16-23-11
118 Tanzania -0.56 11-20-15
119 Madagascar -0.56 12-7-7
120 Nicaragua -0.56 11-18-6
121 Luxembourg -0.58 5-24-8
122 Ethiopia -0.62 15-25-9
123 Swaziland -0.65 10-14-13
124 Guinea-Bissau -0.67 5-8-6
125 Comoros -0.67 2-10-8
126 Bahrain -0.71 19-15-19
127 North Korea -0.74 13-10-8
128 New Zealand -0.76 11-12-7
129 Faroe Islands -0.78 4-19-3
130 Niger -0.79 7-20-13
131 Lebanon -0.80 11-15-20
132 Malta -0.80 4-28-5
133 Lesotho -0.82 10-23-16
134 Sudan -0.90 7-22-7
135 Thailand -0.91 22-20-8
136 Chad -0.97 4-7-1
137 Gambia -0.99 3-9-5
138 Palestine -1.00 16-11-10
139 Curacao -1.17 8-6-6
140 Liechtenstein -1.18 2-26-5
141 Belize -1.25 3-16-7
142 Indonesia -1.26 12-14-9
143 Vietnam -1.27 16-11-9
144 Philippines -1.32 22-18-8
145 Turkmenistan -1.34 7-11-1
146 St. Kitts and Nevis -1.37 12-6-4
147 Central African Republic -1.37 3-10-3
148 Kyrgyzstan -1.38 11-13-8
149 Hong Kong -1.38 15-15-9
150 Andorra -1.48 2-26-3
151 Antigua and Barbuda -1.56 12-7-2
152 Mauritius -1.58 6-17-6
153 Suriname -1.65 6-6-1
154 Cuba -1.67 5-15-3
155 Montserrat -1.80 1-1-1
156 Bermuda -1.81 4-4-3
157 Barbados -1.83 6-7-3
158 Singapore -1.86 17-27-6
159 Yemen -1.88 6-23-8
160 Tajikistan -1.93 11-12-6
161 Sao Tome and Principe -1.99 2-10-0
162 Seychelles -1.99 4-18-3
163 New Caledonia -1.99 5-5-4
164 Dominican Republic -2.01 6-9-1
165 India -2.05 17-13-5
166 Myanmar -2.09 14-21-9
167 Guyana -2.15 6-6-4
168 South Sudan -2.15 6-13-3
169 St. Lucia -2.19 7-9-2
170 Malaysia -2.21 13-23-13
171 Puerto Rico -2.22 3-8-5
172 Afghanistan -2.23 18-14-9
173 Grenada -2.24 6-11-6
174 Cayman Islands -2.26 0-1-2
175 Guam -2.34 6-14-6
176 Papua New Guinea -2.39 5-7-3
177 Eritrea -2.56 0-5-0
178 Maldives -2.61 12-19-5
179 St. Vincent / Grenadines -2.63 10-13-5
180 Solomon Islands -2.65 5-10-1
181 Fiji -2.73 4-6-4
182 Tahiti -2.75 4-6-2
183 Gibraltar -2.79 0-7-0
184 Pakistan -2.84 6-8-3
185 Chinese Taipei -2.95 10-19-4
186 San Marino -2.98 0-27-1
187 Dominica -3.00 4-11-4
188 Cambodia -3.03 13-29-4
189 Aruba -3.07 4-7-1
190 Nepal -3.13 5-14-9
191 Vanuatu -3.25 3-2-1
192 Somalia -3.39 0-10-0
193 Netherlands Antilles -3.45 1-1-0
194 Laos -3.64 9-23-9
195 US Virgin Islands -3.67 1-6-0
196 Bangladesh -3.68 6-18-8
197 Macau -3.69 3-9-6
198 Djibouti -4.02 1-14-0
199 Timor-Leste -4.14 2-16-4
200 Brunei Darussalum -4.32 2-9-1
201 Sri Lanka -4.43 3-15-2
202 Turks and Caicos Islands -4.89 1-3-0
203 Mongolia -4.91 1-9-1
204 American Samoa -5.04 2-2-0
205 Bhutan -5.05 3-17-1
206 British Virgin Islands -5.15 0-6-1
207 Cook Islands -5.40 2-1-0
208 Anguilla -5.52 0-7-0
209 Bahamas -5.81 0-2-0
210 Samoa -5.92 2-4-0
211 Tonga -7.08 0-4-0