World Football / Soccer Rankings

To check out win, loss, tie probabilities for the 2017 Confederation’s Cup, click here.

These rankings, which are updated daily, consider margin of victory when adjusting for strength of schedule in international soccer / football.

The rankings use a 4 year window of matches and weight matches by their importance, e.g. a World Cup match has 4 times the weight of a friendly.

The predictions based on these rankings performed well in an academic study of world football/soccer rankings.


Rk Team Rating Record
1 Brazil 2.37 46-8-11
2 Germany 2.34 40-9-12
3 Argentina 2.02 37-8-15
4 Chile 2.00 35-17-16
5 France 2.00 37-13-9
6 Netherlands 1.82 28-14-12
7 Belgium 1.80 34-8-9
8 Colombia 1.78 32-12-13
9 Spain 1.74 36-11-8
10 England 1.73 29-9-14
11 Portugal 1.68 37-11-10
12 Italy 1.61 28-10-21
13 Uruguay 1.61 30-19-9
14 United States 1.43 51-20-17
15 Croatia 1.42 27-11-11
16 Ecuador 1.40 19-20-14
17 Poland 1.33 22-8-14
18 Ukraine 1.32 26-9-8
19 Mexico 1.32 49-19-26
20 Serbia 1.23 18-13-9
21 Sweden 1.21 24-15-12
22 Switzerland 1.20 27-10-9
23 Peru 1.20 22-19-11
24 Republic of Ireland 1.17 18-14-18
25 Costa Rica 1.16 35-18-23
26 Wales 1.13 15-10-12
27 Iceland 1.11 22-18-11
28 Slovakia 1.10 22-10-11
29 Turkey 1.07 25-11-11
30 Austria 1.06 17-12-10
31 Russia 1.02 22-15-12
32 Bosnia-Herzegovina 0.99 23-12-7
33 Denmark 0.99 19-14-12
34 Algeria 0.97 28-12-10
35 Ghana 0.92 33-21-18
36 Paraguay 0.92 9-22-14
37 Ivory Coast 0.91 29-16-22
38 Czech Republic 0.84 18-14-11
39 Scotland 0.84 14-12-8
40 Australia 0.82 22-19-13
41 Iran 0.82 32-6-11
42 Senegal 0.82 26-9-16
43 Nigeria 0.80 32-15-21
44 Japan 0.80 35-14-11
45 Egypt 0.79 28-14-5
46 Romania 0.78 16-10-16
47 Greece 0.73 16-14-14
48 Slovenia 0.73 14-18-7
49 Northern Ireland 0.71 16-14-10
50 Cameroon 0.64 29-16-25
51 Panama 0.62 24-24-27
52 South Africa 0.61 35-12-29
53 South Korea 0.61 33-20-8
54 Venezuela 0.60 11-23-13
55 Morocco 0.59 27-13-18
56 Albania 0.57 14-17-8
57 Congo DR 0.51 27-18-18
58 Hungary 0.44 15-13-14
59 Israel 0.43 11-14-6
60 Burkina Faso 0.41 25-21-20
61 Tunisia 0.41 22-16-20
62 Guinea 0.36 20-12-16
63 Mali 0.35 23-19-20
64 Montenegro 0.35 8-14-8
65 Bulgaria 0.34 13-15-4
66 Honduras 0.29 26-34-21
67 Finland 0.29 9-20-11
68 Armenia 0.24 9-20-5
69 Bolivia 0.23 8-24-9
70 Belarus 0.23 15-17-12
71 Uzbekistan 0.21 29-16-9
72 Jamaica 0.21 18-28-11
73 Zambia 0.19 28-19-33
74 United Arab Emirates 0.19 34-14-12
75 Uganda 0.19 30-19-17
76 Saudi Arabia 0.18 24-14-8
77 Norway 0.17 13-23-10
78 Georgia 0.16 7-22-7
79 Cape Verde Islands 0.09 13-9-8
80 Qatar 0.07 37-21-14
81 Canada 0.06 11-20-16
82 Zimbabwe 0.05 26-16-20
83 FYR Macedonia 0.02 9-25-4
84 Gabon 0.02 15-20-23
85 China 0.02 20-14-17
86 Congo -0.06 15-19-9
87 Trinidad and Tobago -0.11 17-23-14
88 Haiti -0.15 12-20-5
89 Libya -0.16 12-15-12
90 Equatorial Guinea -0.16 6-10-7
91 Jordan -0.17 27-21-20
92 Lithuania -0.18 8-19-9
93 Kenya -0.18 18-11-17
94 Iraq -0.21 22-26-15
95 Togo -0.23 11-17-10
96 Cyprus -0.24 7-20-4
97 Kazakhstan -0.24 9-19-10
98 Azerbaijan -0.25 9-16-13
99 Rwanda -0.27 15-21-10
100 Moldova -0.28 7-25-12
101 Benin -0.29 8-9-9
102 Mauritania -0.29 15-19-8
103 El Salvador -0.30 11-28-14
104 Estonia -0.32 18-22-11
105 Oman -0.34 23-18-16
106 Latvia -0.35 6-20-13
107 Angola -0.38 11-21-18
108 Syria -0.38 17-14-9
109 Kuwait -0.39 17-14-13
110 Sierra Leone -0.42 7-12-6
111 Namibia -0.45 16-16-12
112 Mozambique -0.47 17-22-16
113 Burundi -0.49 11-11-13
114 Madagascar -0.51 14-7-9
115 Tanzania -0.52 13-21-20
116 Malawi -0.54 15-21-13
117 Liberia -0.54 8-10-3
118 Guatemala -0.55 11-19-11
119 Luxembourg -0.57 5-24-8
120 Botswana -0.58 16-27-11
121 Nicaragua -0.61 11-20-6
122 Ethiopia -0.63 16-25-9
123 Comoros -0.67 3-11-8
124 Bahrain -0.71 19-15-19
125 Swaziland -0.74 10-18-13
126 North Korea -0.76 13-11-9
127 Faroe Islands -0.77 4-19-3
128 Malta -0.79 4-28-5
129 Lebanon -0.80 11-15-20
130 Guinea-Bissau -0.81 5-11-6
131 Niger -0.81 7-20-13
132 Lesotho -0.83 11-25-18
133 Thailand -0.86 23-20-8
134 New Zealand -0.88 11-13-7
135 Sudan -0.90 7-22-8
136 Chad -0.98 4-7-1
137 Palestine -1.00 16-11-10
138 Gambia -1.00 4-10-6
139 Curacao -1.04 9-6-6
140 Liechtenstein -1.18 2-26-5
141 Indonesia -1.26 12-14-9
142 Vietnam -1.27 16-11-9
143 Belize -1.27 3-16-7
144 Philippines -1.32 22-18-8
145 Turkmenistan -1.34 7-11-1
146 St. Kitts and Nevis -1.36 12-6-4
147 Kyrgyzstan -1.37 11-13-8
148 Central African Republic -1.38 3-10-3
149 Hong Kong -1.38 15-15-9
150 Andorra -1.47 2-26-3
151 Mauritius -1.52 6-20-8
152 Antigua and Barbuda -1.55 12-7-2
153 Suriname -1.65 6-6-1
154 Cuba -1.66 5-15-3
155 Montserrat -1.69 1-1-1
156 Barbados -1.83 7-8-4
157 Bermuda -1.84 4-4-3
158 Singapore -1.86 17-27-6
159 Yemen -1.88 6-23-8
160 Tajikistan -1.93 11-12-6
161 Sao Tome and Principe -1.99 2-10-0
162 Seychelles -2.01 4-20-3
163 Dominican Republic -2.02 6-9-1
164 India -2.04 17-13-5
165 Myanmar -2.09 14-21-9
166 New Caledonia -2.10 5-5-4
167 Guyana -2.11 6-6-4
168 South Sudan -2.14 6-14-4
169 St. Lucia -2.15 8-9-4
170 Puerto Rico -2.19 3-8-5
171 Malaysia -2.21 13-23-13
172 Afghanistan -2.23 18-14-9
173 Grenada -2.24 7-12-7
174 Cayman Islands -2.28 0-1-2
175 Guam -2.34 6-14-6
176 Papua New Guinea -2.49 5-7-3
177 St. Vincent / Grenadines -2.55 11-15-6
178 Eritrea -2.59 0-5-0
179 Maldives -2.60 12-19-5
180 Solomon Islands -2.75 5-10-1
181 Gibraltar -2.79 0-7-0
182 Fiji -2.82 4-6-4
183 Pakistan -2.84 6-8-3
184 Tahiti -2.85 4-6-2
185 Dominica -2.90 4-11-7
186 Chinese Taipei -2.95 10-19-4
187 San Marino -2.98 0-27-1
188 Cambodia -3.03 13-29-4
189 Aruba -3.04 4-7-1
190 Nepal -3.13 5-14-9
191 Vanuatu -3.35 3-2-1
192 Somalia -3.39 0-10-0
193 Netherlands Antilles -3.46 1-1-0
194 US Virgin Islands -3.63 1-6-0
195 Laos -3.63 9-23-9
196 Bangladesh -3.67 6-18-8
197 Macau -3.68 3-9-6
198 Djibouti -4.07 1-15-0
199 Timor-Leste -4.14 2-16-4
200 Brunei Darussalum -4.31 2-9-1
201 Sri Lanka -4.42 3-15-2
202 Turks and Caicos Islands -4.86 1-3-0
203 American Samoa -4.87 2-2-0
204 Mongolia -4.91 1-9-1
205 Bhutan -5.05 3-17-1
206 British Virgin Islands -5.09 0-6-1
207 Cook Islands -5.22 2-1-0
208 Anguilla -5.56 0-7-0
209 Samoa -5.77 2-4-0
210 Bahamas -5.83 0-2-0
211 Tonga -6.92 0-4-0