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Bowl Subdivision Rankings

These college football computer rankings take margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule.  The rating gives an expected margin of victory against an average FBS team.

In 2020, these rankings consider games from 2019 and 2020, with the current season getting twice the weight.

Rk Team Rating Record
1 Ohio State 35.47 7-0
2 Alabama 34.00 12-0
3 Clemson 24.50 10-2
4 Oklahoma 21.62 9-2
5 Iowa 20.81 6-2
6 Florida 19.36 8-4
7 Georgia 19.18 8-2
8 LSU 17.89 5-5
9 Iowa State 17.19 9-3
10 Penn State 17.00 4-5
11 Wisconsin 16.89 4-3
12 Notre Dame 15.98 10-2
13 Indiana 15.90 6-2
14 Texas A&M 15.32 9-1
15 Texas 15.25 7-3
16 Auburn 14.47 6-5
17 Cincinnati 13.26 9-1
18 Oregon 12.72 4-3
19 Michigan 12.38 2-4
20 Oklahoma State 12.20 8-3
21 Northwestern 11.77 7-2
22 Utah 11.01 3-2
23 Brigham Young 10.56 11-1
24 Louisiana 10.23 10-1
25 Minnesota 10.21 3-4
26 TCU 9.82 6-4
27 USC 9.77 5-1
28 Washington 8.92 3-1
29 Mississippi 8.79 5-5
30 Baylor 8.59 2-7
31 Appalachian State 8.15 9-3
32 North Carolina 7.81 8-4
33 UCF 7.80 6-4
34 Nebraska 7.35 3-5
35 Kansas State 6.33 4-6
36 Purdue 6.25 2-4
37 Arizona State 5.69 2-2
38 West Virginia 5.65 6-4
39 Kentucky 5.47 5-6
40 Missouri 5.27 5-5
41 Coastal Carolina 4.97 11-1
42 Mississippi State 4.90 4-7
43 Miami (FL) 4.75 8-3
44 Boise State 4.41 5-2
45 UCLA 3.99 3-4
46 Air Force 3.72 3-3
47 Tulsa 3.55 6-3
48 Michigan State 3.46 2-5
49 Tennessee 3.43 3-7
50 Memphis 3.27 8-3
51 Virginia 2.15 5-5
52 Texas Tech 2.11 4-6
53 San Diego State 1.95 4-4
54 California 1.90 1-3
55 Buffalo 1.87 6-1
56 Virginia Tech 1.80 5-6
57 San Jose State 1.44 7-1
58 SMU 1.42 7-3
59 Stanford 1.39 4-2
60 Wake Forest 1.06 4-5
61 Ball State 0.99 7-1
62 Louisville 0.91 4-7
63 Pittsburgh 0.77 6-5
64 Oregon State 0.74 2-5
65 Illinois 0.60 2-6
66 Arkansas 0.59 3-7
67 South Carolina 0.29 2-8
68 Tulane 0.22 6-6
69 Washington State 0.00 1-3
70 Boston College -0.56 6-5
71 Liberty -0.73 10-1
72 Colorado -0.76 4-2
73 Georgia Southern -0.92 8-5
74 Florida Atlantic -0.94 5-4
75 Rutgers -1.09 3-6
76 Wyoming -1.17 2-4
77 Army -1.36 9-3
78 Marshall -1.72 7-3
79 Maryland -1.89 2-3
80 Hawaii -2.88 5-4
81 North Carolina State -3.20 8-4
82 Nevada -3.28 7-2
83 Houston -3.33 3-5
84 UAB -3.46 6-3
85 Navy -3.79 3-7
86 Georgia State -4.04 6-4
87 Ohio -4.38 2-1
88 Western Michigan -4.59 4-2
89 Fresno State -4.80 3-3
90 Florida State -5.36 3-6
91 Troy -5.81 5-6
92 Arkansas State -5.92 4-7
93 Central Michigan -5.99 3-3
94 Toledo -6.04 4-2
95 Miami (OH) -6.94 2-1
96 Eastern Michigan -7.68 2-4
97 Western Kentucky -8.54 5-7
98 Rice -8.81 2-3
99 Syracuse -9.01 1-10
100 Arizona -9.04 0-5
101 East Carolina -9.25 3-6
102 Duke -9.30 2-9
103 UTSA -9.59 7-5
104 Louisiana Tech -9.78 5-5
105 Georgia Tech -9.78 3-7
106 Vanderbilt -10.15 0-9
107 Temple -10.64 1-6
108 Kent State -10.84 3-1
109 Kansas -10.93 0-9
110 Colorado State -11.09 1-3
111 Southern Miss -11.10 3-7
112 South Florida -11.35 1-8
113 South Alabama -12.02 4-7
114 Charlotte -12.22 2-4
115 Texas State -12.32 2-10
116 Northern Illinois -12.78 0-6
117 New Mexico -13.16 2-5
118 Utah State -13.29 1-5
119 Florida International -14.26 0-5
120 Middle Tennessee -14.83 3-6
121 North Texas -15.71 4-6
122 UNLV -16.40 0-6
123 Louisiana Monroe -18.83 0-10
124 Old Dominion -20.37 0-0
125 New Mexico State -20.83 0-0
126 UTEP -23.96 3-5
127 Connecticut -24.62 0-0
128 Akron -32.94 1-5
129 Bowling Green -34.49 0-5
130 Massachusetts -34.59 0-4

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I use my Stanford Ph.D. in applied math to make football and March Madness predictions.

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