Bowl Subdivision Rankings

These preseason rankings for 2017 consider recent team performance, turnovers and returning starters. This simple model has predicted the game winner in 70.8% of games over the last 3 seasons (1452-598, which doesn’t include any FCS cupcake games).


Rk Team Rating Record
1 Alabama 22.67 0-0
2 Clemson 18.43 0-0
3 Florida State 18.21 0-0
4 Ohio State 16.90 0-0
5 Oklahoma 16.12 0-0
6 Auburn 14.32 0-0
7 Stanford 13.57 0-0
8 Wisconsin 13.56 0-0
9 Michigan 13.06 0-0
10 LSU 13.01 0-0
11 Washington 12.39 0-0
12 Penn State 12.02 0-0
13 Miami (FL) 11.58 0-0
14 Louisville 11.56 0-0
15 Georgia Tech 9.94 0-0
16 USC 9.70 0-0
17 Virginia Tech 9.67 0-0
18 Georgia 9.67 0-0
19 Florida 9.63 0-0
20 Texas A&M 9.45 0-0
21 Tennessee 9.23 0-0
22 Washington State 9.04 0-0
23 TCU 8.64 0-0
24 Notre Dame 8.60 0-0
25 North Carolina State 8.28 0-0
26 North Carolina 8.26 0-0
27 Mississippi 7.90 0-0
28 Houston 7.50 0-0
29 Iowa 7.22 0-0
30 Baylor 7.17 0-0
31 Oklahoma State 6.96 0-0
32 Northwestern 6.93 0-0
33 Kansas State 6.84 0-0
34 Oregon 6.37 0-0
35 Vanderbilt 6.35 0-0
36 Pittsburgh 6.21 0-0
37 Texas 6.08 0-0
38 Mississippi State 6.02 0-0
39 UCLA 5.52 0-0
40 Minnesota 5.24 0-0
41 Arkansas 5.17 0-0
42 Kentucky 5.04 0-0
43 Western Michigan 4.51 0-0
44 Texas Tech 4.20 0-0
45 Duke 3.89 0-0
46 Utah 3.86 0-0
47 South Florida 3.65 0-0
48 Brigham Young 3.48 0-0
49 South Carolina 3.46 0-0
50 Colorado 3.28 0-0
51 Syracuse 2.60 0-0
52 Nebraska 2.44 0-0
53 Indiana 2.41 0-0
54 Toledo 2.38 0-0
55 Troy 2.24 0-0
56 Colorado State 2.04 0-0
57 Memphis 1.92 0-0
58 Missouri 1.87 0-0
59 Wake Forest 1.73 0-0
60 Arizona State 1.50 0-0
61 Western Kentucky 1.46 0-0
62 Navy 1.44 0-0
63 West Virginia 1.05 0-0
64 Temple 0.88 0-0
65 Boston College 0.42 0-0
66 Oregon State 0.16 0-0
67 Appalachian State 0.07 0-0
68 Boise State -0.12 0-0
69 Arizona -0.27 0-0
70 Tulsa -0.48 0-0
71 California -0.56 0-0
72 Michigan State -0.61 0-0
73 San Diego State -0.67 0-0
74 UCF -1.17 0-0
75 Army -1.23 0-0
76 Virginia -1.56 0-0
77 Maryland -2.01 0-0
78 Wyoming -2.62 0-0
79 Ohio -2.99 0-0
80 Iowa State -3.12 0-0
81 Louisiana Tech -3.73 0-0
82 Central Michigan -4.13 0-0
83 SMU -4.57 0-0
84 Northern Illinois -4.86 0-0
85 Coastal Carolina -5.22 0-0
86 Georgia Southern -5.27 0-0
87 UTSA -5.49 0-0
88 Arkansas State -5.55 0-0
89 East Carolina -6.03 0-0
90 Air Force -6.09 0-0
91 Middle Tennessee State -6.36 0-0
92 Georgia State -6.41 0-0
93 Miami (OH) -6.51 0-0
94 Southern Miss -6.67 0-0
95 Hawaii -6.87 0-0
96 Akron -6.95 0-0
97 Marshall -6.99 0-0
98 Tulane -7.00 0-0
99 Louisiana Lafayette -7.11 0-0
100 Old Dominion -7.25 0-0
101 Cincinnati -7.63 0-0
102 South Alabama -7.83 0-0
103 Bowling Green -8.00 0-0
104 Purdue -8.05 0-0
105 Rutgers -8.05 0-0
106 San Jose State -8.17 0-0
107 Utah State -8.33 0-0
108 Eastern Michigan -8.64 0-0
109 Louisiana Monroe -8.70 0-0
110 New Mexico -8.75 0-0
111 Florida Atlantic -9.07 0-0
112 Ball State -9.15 0-0
113 Connecticut -9.19 0-0
114 Illinois -9.27 0-0
115 Fresno State -9.32 0-0
116 Rice -10.65 0-0
117 Massachusetts -10.92 0-0
118 Nevada -11.01 0-0
119 Kent State -11.15 0-0
120 Kansas -11.17 0-0
121 Idaho -12.04 0-0
122 UNLV -12.09 0-0
123 Buffalo -12.77 0-0
124 North Texas -13.00 0-0
125 New Mexico State -14.01 0-0
126 Florida International -15.19 0-0
127 Texas State -15.66 0-0
128 UTEP -17.57 0-0
129 Charlotte -19.20 0-0
130 UAB -19.85 0-0