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LSU and Oklahoma State have a 38% chance to play in National Championship game

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

One need not worry
Ten unbeatens down to three
Thirty eight percent

Four weeks ago, there were 10 undefeated teams in college football, and everyone speculated how the slew of unbeaten teams might impact the BCS. Andy Staples of SI.com predicted that Wisconsin and Stanford as well as an SEC and Big 12 school would all go undefeated, wreaking havoc on the system. After this weekend, Wisconsin, Stanford and host of others have all lost, leaving only three unbeaten teams. The Power Rank gives these teams the following chance to remain undefeated.

LSU: 77%
Oklahoma State: 49%
Houston: 31%

In the national championship picture, Houston doesn’t matter, as their schedule is softer than my 6 month old son’s tummy. (Happy month day, Miles.) Then the BCS boils down to LSU and Oklahoma State, and The Power Rank gives a 38% chance that both these teams win the remainder of their games and meet in the national championship game. Brash, Conceited and Smug, the BCS would work for the second year in a row in the sense that the national championship game would feature two undefeated teams from elite conferences. For those who hate the system, The Power Rank forecasts a 11% chance that LSU and Oklahoma State both lose, leaving a mess of one loss teams to argue about who should play. The talking heads on ESPN might explode.

Filed Under: College Football, College Football 2011, College Football Analytics, Football Analytics, Houston Cougars, LSU Tigers, Oklahoma State Cowboys

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  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • The Craft of Sports Betting Professionals
    • March Madness Book
  • Rankings
    • World Soccer/Football
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    • College Football
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    • NFL passing success rate
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