THE POWER RANK

  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • March Madness Book
  • Rankings
    • College Basketball
    • NFL
    • College Football
    • MLB
    • Cluster Luck
    • CFB yards per play
    • World Soccer/Football
  • Members
    • My Account
    • Login
    • Become a member
    • COVID-19 Policy
  • Log in

LSU and Oklahoma State have a 38% chance to play in National Championship game

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

One need not worry
Ten unbeatens down to three
Thirty eight percent

Four weeks ago, there were 10 undefeated teams in college football, and everyone speculated how the slew of unbeaten teams might impact the BCS. Andy Staples of SI.com predicted that Wisconsin and Stanford as well as an SEC and Big 12 school would all go undefeated, wreaking havoc on the system. After this weekend, Wisconsin, Stanford and host of others have all lost, leaving only three unbeaten teams. The Power Rank gives these teams the following chance to remain undefeated.

LSU: 77%
Oklahoma State: 49%
Houston: 31%

In the national championship picture, Houston doesn’t matter, as their schedule is softer than my 6 month old son’s tummy. (Happy month day, Miles.) Then the BCS boils down to LSU and Oklahoma State, and The Power Rank gives a 38% chance that both these teams win the remainder of their games and meet in the national championship game. Brash, Conceited and Smug, the BCS would work for the second year in a row in the sense that the national championship game would feature two undefeated teams from elite conferences. For those who hate the system, The Power Rank forecasts a 11% chance that LSU and Oklahoma State both lose, leaving a mess of one loss teams to argue about who should play. The talking heads on ESPN might explode.

Filed Under: College Football, College Football 2011, College Football Analytics, Football Analytics, Houston Cougars, LSU Tigers, Oklahoma State Cowboys

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Predictions from Ed Feng

I use my Stanford Ph.D. in applied math to make football and March Madness predictions.

To get a sample of my best American football predictions and March Madness cheat sheet, sign up for my free email newsletter.

Enter your email and click on "Sign up now!"

Popular Articles

  • How to win your NCAA tournament pool
  • The ultimate guide to predictive college basketball analytics
  • How to predict interceptions in the NFL
  • Accurate football predictions with linear regression
  • The surprising truth about passing and rushing in the NFL
  • Football analytics resource guide
  • The Reason You Can’t Avoid The Curse of Small Sample Size
  • The essential guide to predictive CFB rankings
  • How computer rankings make you smarter about sports
  • How to win your college football bowl pool
  • Do you make these 3 mistakes with college football statistics?
  • The Top 10 Things to Know About The Power Rank’s Methods
  • 5 insights from academic research on predicting world soccer/football matches

Recent Articles

  • Bracket Wisdom #6: The NET Rankings, Explained
  • [Members] College basketball predictions for March 6, 2021
  • Bracket Wisdom #5: Houston
  • Bracket Wisdom #4: The one thing you must get right to win
  • Bracket Wisdom #3: Alabama

© 2021 The Power Rank Inc., All rights reserved.

About, Terms of Use, Privacy Policy

Get a sample of my best football predictions

While I usually save my best predictions for paying members of the site, I offer a sample in my weekly email newsletter.


To get this service, sign up for my free email newsletter.


Enter your email and click on "Sign up now!"

No thanks, I'll make predictions without data and analytics.

{"cookieName":"wBounce","isAggressive":false,"isSitewide":true,"hesitation":"","openAnimation":false,"exitAnimation":false,"timer":"","sensitivity":"","cookieExpire":"","cookieDomain":"","autoFire":"","isAnalyticsEnabled":true}
  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • March Madness Book
  • Rankings
    • College Basketball
    • NFL
    • College Football
    • MLB
    • Cluster Luck
    • CFB yards per play
    • World Soccer/Football
  • Members
    • My Account
    • Login
    • Become a member
    • COVID-19 Policy