Bracket Wisdom #4: How to make college basketball predictions

Ever wondered how to make a college basketball prediction based on efficiency? To explain, I dig into points per possession and how to estimate this quantity from the box score.

Then I discuss the least squares algorithm and how it leads to the rankings on Finally, I talk about going from these efficiency rankings to a prediction for a game.

This episode formed the basis for part of my ultimate guide to predictive college basketball analytics.

To listen, click on the right pointing triangle.

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