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Bracket Wisdom #4: How to make college basketball predictions

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

Ever wondered how to make a college basketball prediction based on efficiency? To explain, I dig into points per possession and how to estimate this quantity from the box score.

Then I discuss the least squares algorithm and how it leads to the rankings on kenpom.com. Finally, I talk about going from these efficiency rankings to a prediction for a game.

This episode formed the basis for part of my ultimate guide to predictive college basketball analytics.

To listen, click on the right pointing triangle.

To get the episode on Apple Podcasts, click here. You can subscribe to the podcast to make sure you get every episode of this daily series.

The Bracket Wisdom series is also available on Google Podcasts, Spotify and Stitcher.

Filed Under: 2020 NCAA Tournament, Bracket Wisdom, College Basketball, Podcast

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  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • The Craft of Sports Betting Professionals
    • March Madness Book
  • Rankings
    • World Soccer/Football
    • College Basketball
    • College Football
    • NFL
    • NFL passing success rate
    • MLB
    • Cluster Luck
  • Members
    • My Account
    • Login
    • Become a member