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Check out the latest NCAA tournament predictions for 2015

By Dr. Ed Feng 1 Comment

Screen Shot 2015-03-09 at 12.24.43 PMWhile everyone else is trying to predict which teams make the tourney, I like to know which teams might win.

I know bracketology is fun for fans. I don’t pay attention at all. I just take Joe Lunardi’s projection and calculate win probabilities for each team. To see the interactive bracket with win probabilities, click here.

However, I messed with his field of 68.

Wisconsin keeps landing as the 2 seed in Kentucky’s region. The Badgers are one of 5 teams clustered within a point of each other behind Kentucky in my team rankings. With this field, Kentucky has a 31.9% to win the tournament.

Kansas is not one of those 5 teams ranked behind Kentucky. The Jayhawks are 9th in my rankings and got clobbered by Kentucky earlier this season. However, Kansas is projected as a 2 seed.

The interactive bracket shows results with Kansas as the 2 seed in Kentucky’s region. Kentucky’s win probability for the tournament increases from 31.9% to 35.5%.

We shall see what the actual committee gives us on Sunday.

Filed Under: 2015 NCAA Tournament, Basketball analytics, College Basketball, Kentucky Wildcats

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  1. Karl Jobst says:
    March 10, 2015 at 2:56 am

    Karl Jobst

    Check out the latest NCAA tournament predictions for 2015

    Reply

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