Earlier this week, we calculated that Alabama, Kansas State, Oregon and Notre Dame had a 6.7% chance to all remain undefeated. Alper Akanser, a member of The Power Rank, went one step further. Using our probability for each team to remain undefeated, he calculated the likelihood that any number of teams remain undefeated.
- 0 of 4 teams remain undefeated: 5.4%.
- 1 of 4 teams remain undefeated: 23.5%.
- 2 of 4 teams remain undefeated: 38.0%.
- 3 of 4 teams remain undefeated: 26.4%.
- 4 of 4 teams remain undefeated: 6.7%.
For those of us keen to inflict extra embarrassment upon the lame duck BCS system, there’s a 33.1% chance that at least 3 of these teams remain undefeated.
Thanks, Alper. We appreciate others doing work for us 🙂
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