These predictions come from my world football/soccer rankings that take match results and adjust for schedule.
You can find the predictions for the first group matches here. Updating the rankings with matches weren’t changing the predictions much, so I’m posting the 2nd and 3rd games together.
Wednesday, June 16, 2021
Russia hosting Finland: Russia has a 55.3% chance to win. Finland has a 19.6% chance to win. There is a 25.1% chance for a tie.
Turkey vs Wales: Turkey has a 29.7% chance to win. Wales has a 40.8% chance to win. There is a 29.5% chance for a tie.
Italy hosting Switzerland: Italy has a 56.9% chance to win. Switzerland has a 15.8% chance to win. There is a 27.4% chance for a tie.
Thursday, June 17, 2021
Ukraine vs North Macedonia: Ukraine has a 47.3% chance to win. North Macedonia has a 27.3% chance to win. There is a 25.5% chance for a tie.
Denmark hosting Belgium: Denmark has a 32.6% chance to win. Belgium has a 42.9% chance to win. There is a 24.5% chance for a tie.
Netherlands hosting Austria: Netherlands has a 66.7% chance to win. Austria has a 12.7% chance to win. There is a 20.7% chance for a tie.
Friday, June 18, 2021
Sweden vs Slovakia: Sweden has a 53.2% chance to win. Slovakia has a 20.2% chance to win. There is a 26.6% chance for a tie.
Croatia vs Czech Republic: Croatia has a 54.0% chance to win. Czech Republic has a 21.2% chance to win. There is a 24.8% chance for a tie.
England hosting Scotland: England has a 78.0% chance to win. Scotland has a 5.1% chance to win. There is a 16.9% chance for a tie.
Saturday, June 19, 2021
Hungary hosting France: Hungary has a 13.9% chance to win. France has a 64.6% chance to win. There is a 21.5% chance for a tie.
Germany hosting Portugal: Germany has a 44.0% chance to win. Portugal has a 31.9% chance to win. There is a 24.2% chance for a tie.
Spain hosting Poland: Spain has a 66.3% chance to win. Poland has a 14.1% chance to win. There is a 19.6% chance for a tie.
Sunday, June 20, 2021
Italy hosting Wales: Italy has a 67.0% chance to win. Wales has a 6.9% chance to win. There is a 26.1% chance for a tie.
Switzerland vs Turkey: Switzerland has a 50.6% chance to win. Turkey has a 23.3% chance to win. There is a 26.1% chance for a tie.
Monday, June 21, 2021
Netherlands hosting North Macedonia: Netherlands has a 75.5% chance to win. North Macedonia has a 8.2% chance to win. There is a 16.3% chance for a tie.
Ukraine vs Austria: Ukraine has a 36.3% chance to win. Austria has a 35.9% chance to win. There is a 27.8% chance for a tie.
Denmark hosting Russia: Denmark has a 61.8% chance to win. Russia has a 15.1% chance to win. There is a 23.1% chance for a tie.
Finland vs Belgium: Finland has a 9.2% chance to win. Belgium has a 73.8% chance to win. There is a 17.0% chance for a tie.
Tuesday, June 23, 2021
Scotland hosting Croatia: Scotland has a 24.9% chance to win. Croatia has a 50.7% chance to win. There is a 24.4% chance for a tie.
England hosting Czech Republic: England has a 72.3% chance to win. Czech Republic has a 7.4% chance to win. There is a 20.3% chance for a tie.
Wednesday, June 24, 2021
Sweden vs Poland: Sweden has a 40.2% chance to win. Poland has a 32.0% chance to win. There is a 27.7% chance for a tie.
Spain hosting Slovakia: Spain has a 77.6% chance to win. Slovakia has a 6.8% chance to win. There is a 15.7% chance for a tie.
Germany hosting Hungary: Germany has a 73.0% chance to win. Hungary has a 10.2% chance to win. There is a 16.8% chance for a tie.
Portugal vs France: Portugal has a 31.3% chance to win. France has a 42.2% chance to win. There is a 26.5% chance for a tie.
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