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World Cup 2022 Match Predictions – First Matches in Group Play

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

These predictions come from world football/soccer rankings that take match results from the past five years and adjust for strength of schedule. These predictions alone will not beat the market but can be a useful tool in handicapping.

Sunday, November 20, 2022

Qatar hosting Ecuador – Qatar has a 41.4% chance to win. Ecuador has a 34.2% chance to win. There is a 24.4% chance for a tie.

Monday, November 21, 2022

England vs Iran – England has a 60.3% chance to win. Iran has a 13.7% chance to win. There is a 26.0% chance for a tie.

Senegal vs Netherlands – Senegal has a 15.7% chance to win. Netherlands has a 62.0% chance to win. There is a 22.3% chance for a tie.

United States vs Wales – United States has a 38.3% chance to win. Wales has a 29.2% chance to win. There is a 32.5% chance for a tie.

Tuesday, November 22, 2022

Argentina vs Saudi Arabia – Argentina has a 68.8% chance to win. Saudi Arabia has a 9.7% chance to win. There is a 21.5% chance for a tie.

Denmark vs Tunisia – Denmark has a 63.1% chance to win. Tunisia has a 12.3% chance to win. There is a 24.6% chance for a tie.

Mexico vs Poland – Mexico has a 37.1% chance to win. Poland has a 36.2% chance to win. There is a 26.8% chance for a tie.

France vs Australia – France has a 66.5% chance to win. Australia has a 12.8% chance to win. There is a 20.6% chance for a tie.

Wednesday, November 23, 2022

Morocco vs Croatia – Morocco has a 28.0% chance to win. Croatia has a 48.0% chance to win. There is a 24.0% chance for a tie.

Germany vs Japan – Germany has a 45.6% chance to win. Japan has a 31.3% chance to win. There is a 23.1% chance for a tie.

Spain vs Costa Rica – Spain has a 71.9% chance to win. Costa Rica has a 8.3% chance to win. There is a 19.9% chance for a tie.

Belgium vs Canada – Belgium has a 62.0% chance to win. Canada has a 18.7% chance to win. There is a 19.3% chance for a tie.

Thursday, November 24, 2022

Switzerland vs Cameroon – Switzerland has a 63.6% chance to win. Cameroon has a 13.2% chance to win. There is a 23.3% chance for a tie.

Uruguay vs South Korea – Uruguay has a 49.1% chance to win. South Korea has a 21.8% chance to win. There is a 29.1% chance for a tie.

Portugal vs Ghana – Portugal has a 79.4% chance to win. Ghana has a 3.7% chance to win. There is a 17.0% chance for a tie.

Brazil vs Serbia – Brazil has a 67.7% chance to win. Serbia has a 11.4% chance to win. There is a 20.9% chance for a tie.

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