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Euro 2020 played in 2021 Quarter-final computer predictions

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

These predictions are based on my world football/soccer rankings that take game results over a 5 year period and adjust for strength of schedule. These predictions assume reversion to the team mean over recent history.

Friday, July 2, 2021

Italy vs Belgium: Italy has a 29.0% chance to win. Belgium has a 45.4% chance to win. There is a 25.5% chance for a tie. Note that Belgium will most likely not have Eden Hazard and Kevin De Bruyne.

Probability of over 2.5 goals is 0.496. Probability of under 2.5 goals is 0.504.

Spain vs Switzerland: Spain has a 52.6% chance to win. Switzerland has a 24.0% chance to win. There is a 23.3% chance for a tie.

Probability of over 2.5 goals is 0.557. Probability of under 2.5 goals is 0.443.

Saturday, July 3, 2021

Denmark vs Czech Republic: Denmark has a 57.8% chance to win. Czech Republic has a 16.0% chance to win. There is a 26.1% chance for a tie.

Probability of over 2.5 goals is 0.361. Probability of under 2.5 goals is 0.639.

Ukraine vs England: Ukraine has a 15.4% chance to win. England has a 58.8% chance to win. There is a 25.8% chance for a tie.

Probability of over 2.5 goals is 0.363. Probability of under 2.5 goals is 0.637.

Filed Under: World Soccer/Football Predictions

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  • About
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