These predictions are based on my world football/soccer rankings that take game results over a 5 year period and adjust for strength of schedule. These predictions assume reversion to the team mean over recent history.
Friday, July 2, 2021
Italy vs Belgium: Italy has a 29.0% chance to win. Belgium has a 45.4% chance to win. There is a 25.5% chance for a tie. Note that Belgium will most likely not have Eden Hazard and Kevin De Bruyne.
Probability of over 2.5 goals is 0.496. Probability of under 2.5 goals is 0.504.
Spain vs Switzerland: Spain has a 52.6% chance to win. Switzerland has a 24.0% chance to win. There is a 23.3% chance for a tie.
Probability of over 2.5 goals is 0.557. Probability of under 2.5 goals is 0.443.
Saturday, July 3, 2021
Denmark vs Czech Republic: Denmark has a 57.8% chance to win. Czech Republic has a 16.0% chance to win. There is a 26.1% chance for a tie.
Probability of over 2.5 goals is 0.361. Probability of under 2.5 goals is 0.639.
Ukraine vs England: Ukraine has a 15.4% chance to win. England has a 58.8% chance to win. There is a 25.8% chance for a tie.
Probability of over 2.5 goals is 0.363. Probability of under 2.5 goals is 0.637.
Leave a Reply