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To download a pdf copy of The Logic of Sports Betting by Ed Miller and Matthew Davidow, click on “Download.”

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As a curious sports fan, you might be interested in the following content.

How to predict interceptions in the NFL, backed by surprising science

Interceptions play a critical role in football. In 2013, the NFL team that had more interceptions than their opponent won the game 80% of the time. Can we predict these critical plays?

During the 2020 off season, I dug into the data to find a metric that greatly enhances our ability to predict interceptions. To check it out, click here.

Interactive March Madness Bracket

For the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, I use the college basketball rankings to calculate win probabilities for each team. Then coding and design guru Angi Chau visualized the results for the tournament in this interactive bracket.

Hover over the circles to see the probability for each team to win that game. Hover over the teams to view their win probability for each round. To check it out, click here.

The Top 10 Things To Know About Our Methods

For those that want to dig deeper into our methods, this articles gets into everything from the statistical physics behind our algorithm to exactly how many Bowl game winners it has picked over the last 10 years.

I even solve a linear system of equations and give an intuitive explanation of the algorithm in terms of a fickle fan.

To read the most complete description of my methods on this site, click here.

Data driven betting information

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Popular Articles

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These are the goals with every correspondence, which cover bets on the NFL and college football.


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  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • The Craft of Sports Betting Professionals
    • March Madness Book
  • Rankings
    • World Soccer/Football
    • College Basketball
    • College Football
    • NFL
    • NFL passing success rate
    • MLB
    • Cluster Luck
  • Members
    • CBB Rank
    • My Account
    • Login
    • Become a member