Podcast: Bill Connelly on College Football Predictions for Week 2, 2017

It might as well be New Year’s Day with this week’s college football games.

  • Oklahoma at Ohio State
  • Stanford at USC
  • Auburn at Clemson
  • Georgia at Notre Dame

On the latest episode of The Football Analytics Show, I discuss the predictions for these games with Bill Connelly, college football analytics expert and SB Nation writer extraordinaire.

In addition to breaking down these games, we also discuss how he has written a preview for each FBS team for seven years running. Bill also describes his research on the importance of success rate in predicting football games.

After the interview with Bill, I come back with a short segment on the Oakland Raiders, a team that I think the markets have wrong. Listen at 36:00.

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Podcast: Jonathan Bales and analytics for Daily Fantasy Sports

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I welcome Jonathan Bales, Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) player and founder of Fantasy Labs. We have a fascinating conversation on the following:

  • His bold approach to breaking into the DFS world only 5 years ago
  • The unique way in which Fantasy Lab gives you an edge in playing DFS
  • How contrarian thinking applies to both tournaments in DFS and March Madness pools
  • The unexpected product announcement Jonathan makes on the show; it has to do with props
  • How working for free lets you break into a new field

Please go check out Jonathan’s personal site, one of my favorite places on the internet.

After the interview, I do my own segment on some new NFL preseason rankings, which come from market data. The rating on New England is particularly interesting. Listen at 28:10.

Finally, I talk with David Nasternak, the Michigan super fan and sound engineer for this podcast, on the Michigan versus Florida game. Listen at 32:55.

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Podcast: Aaron Schatz on predicting the 2017 NFL season

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I talk with Aaron Schatz, founder of Football Outsiders. We have a wide ranging conversation on the following topics:

  • How Aaron got on the Late Show with Seth Myers
  • The surprising truth about passing and rushing in the NFL, and how it’s been that way for 30 years
  • The coach that defies the odds and makes his team better
  • Why the Rams won’t be as bad as you think in 2017
  • The NFL team due for a steep decline in 2017 due to their defense

My apologies for butchering his name in the introduction of the podcast, but I do get it right I introduce him.

You can check out the FO Almanac for 2017, which I highly recommend, and their other products here.

After the interview with Aaron, I’m back for a college football win total prediction with value in the markets (35:49). Those Big 12 teams need a pass defense.

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Podcast: Ryan Rodenberg on the legalization of sports betting in the United States

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I talk with Professor Ryan Rodenberg of Florida State on the legal status of betting on games in the United States. He has both a J.D. and a Ph.D. and performs research in sports law analytics.

Ryan explains the legal status of betting on games, which culminates in the Supreme Court’s recent decision to hear a case from New Jersey to legalize betting.

I was particularly intrigued by the role of the NBA in this case. Ryan explains why the NBA seeks to prevent New Jersey from legalizing betting but also publicly favors betting on games.

Throughout the interview, Ryan keeps the conversation jargon free and accessible for those without a law degree.

To listen to this show on the legalization of sports betting on iTunes, click here.

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You can find more legal content from Ryan and others on the Sports Law Blog.

Podcast: Nik Bonaddio on fantasy football analytics and funding your company

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, Nik Bonaddio, the founder and CEO of numberFire, joins me. We had a wide ranging conversation on football analytics, venture capital and running.

The topics we discussed include:

  • The core idea behind how numberFire makes fantasy football projections for their 2017 Draft Kit
  • The details on why numberFire gives you a 30% better chance to win your fantasy football league
  • The type of companies that get venture capital funding
  • The sports book Nik has read at least 10 times
  • The insights on his personal blog

I really enjoyed the range of topics discussed with Nik, and we didn’t even get to talk about his high school design project Lockjaw.

I end the show with thoughts on the one thing that will go wrong for Alabama in 2017. These prediction segments will become a core part of the show.

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