These early season rankings combine preseason expectations with data from the current season. These rankings consider both actual runs and expected runs, a metric used to define cluster luck.
| Rk | Team | Rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston | 1.39 | 49-24 |
| 2 | New York Yankees | 1.17 | 39-30 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 1.04 | 49-26 |
| 4 | Cleveland | 0.82 | 39-33 |
| 5 | Washington | 0.71 | 42-28 |
| 6 | Arizona | 0.68 | 46-28 |
| 7 | Tampa Bay | 0.66 | 40-36 |
| 8 | Chicago Cubs | 0.17 | 37-36 |
| 9 | Boston | 0.16 | 41-32 |
| 10 | Seattle | 0.15 | 39-37 |
| 11 | Oakland | 0.15 | 32-42 |
| 12 | Colorado | 0.10 | 47-29 |
| 13 | Los Angeles Angels | 0.07 | 38-39 |
| 14 | Toronto | -0.04 | 35-38 |
| 15 | St. Louis | -0.06 | 33-39 |
| 16 | Detroit | -0.10 | 32-41 |
| 17 | Miami | -0.12 | 33-39 |
| 18 | Texas | -0.14 | 36-37 |
| 19 | Chicago White Sox | -0.15 | 32-40 |
| 20 | Kansas City | -0.30 | 36-36 |
| 21 | Minnesota | -0.31 | 37-34 |
| 22 | Milwaukee | -0.38 | 40-36 |
| 23 | Pittsburgh | -0.44 | 34-40 |
| 24 | Atlanta | -0.49 | 35-38 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | -0.55 | 30-42 |
| 26 | San Francisco | -0.72 | 27-49 |
| 27 | New York Mets | -0.73 | 32-41 |
| 28 | Baltimore | -0.80 | 35-38 |
| 29 | San Diego | -0.88 | 30-43 |
| 30 | Philadelphia | -1.02 | 23-47 |
