These early season rankings combine preseason expectations with data from the current season. These rankings consider both actual runs and expected runs, a metric used to define cluster luck.
| Rk | Team | Rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston | 1.60 | 65-31 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 1.27 | 67-32 |
| 3 | Washington | 0.82 | 56-38 |
| 4 | Cleveland | 0.81 | 51-45 |
| 5 | New York Yankees | 0.80 | 50-44 |
| 6 | Arizona | 0.66 | 57-41 |
| 7 | Tampa Bay | 0.41 | 51-48 |
| 8 | Chicago Cubs | 0.36 | 50-46 |
| 9 | Boston | 0.23 | 56-44 |
| 10 | St. Louis | 0.23 | 48-50 |
| 11 | Seattle | 0.06 | 49-51 |
| 12 | Oakland | 0.06 | 43-55 |
| 13 | Los Angeles Angels | -0.08 | 48-52 |
| 14 | Texas | -0.11 | 48-50 |
| 15 | Miami | -0.12 | 45-51 |
| 16 | Colorado | -0.15 | 57-43 |
| 17 | Milwaukee | -0.15 | 53-48 |
| 18 | Detroit | -0.15 | 45-52 |
| 19 | Pittsburgh | -0.18 | 50-49 |
| 20 | Atlanta | -0.20 | 48-49 |
| 21 | Kansas City | -0.23 | 50-47 |
| 22 | New York Mets | -0.42 | 46-50 |
| 23 | Toronto | -0.49 | 43-54 |
| 24 | Minnesota | -0.58 | 49-48 |
| 25 | Philadelphia | -0.62 | 33-61 |
| 26 | Cincinnati | -0.64 | 39-58 |
| 27 | Chicago White Sox | -0.64 | 38-57 |
| 28 | San Francisco | -0.77 | 38-62 |
| 29 | Baltimore | -0.82 | 46-52 |
| 30 | San Diego | -0.86 | 43-54 |
