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Cluster Luck

In baseball, teams have little control over the clustering of hits. Hence, we can use run creation formulas to estimate a team’s luck in clustering hits.

This table shows cluster luck for MLB teams in units of runs. A positive number implies good luck in all cases, e.g. positive cluster luck on defense implies a team allowed fewer runs than expected.

Rnk Team Total Off Def
1 San Francisco 25.8 16.3 9.5
2 Texas 17.1 18.1 -1.0
3 Oakland 12.0 12.4 -0.4
4 St. Louis 11.7 6.7 5.0
5 Minnesota 7.2 0.7 6.5
6 Chicago Cubs 6.6 5.5 1.1
7 Milwaukee 6.4 12.1 -5.7
8 Seattle 5.5 4.6 0.9
9 Los Angeles Dodgers 5.4 10.8 -5.3
10 San Diego 4.7 8.1 -3.4
11 Boston 4.7 8.6 -3.9
12 New York Mets 1.2 6.0 -4.8
13 Kansas City 0.6 3.3 -2.7
14 New York Yankees -0.3 -2.8 2.5
15 Cincinnati -1.1 6.5 -7.6
16 Baltimore -2.2 -0.1 -2.1
17 Arizona -2.3 2.0 -4.3
18 Washington -3.1 5.0 -8.1
19 Cleveland -3.6 5.1 -8.7
20 Houston -4.3 0.5 -4.8
21 Detroit -4.8 2.3 -7.2
22 Philadelphia -4.9 3.9 -8.8
23 Miami -5.0 -4.3 -0.7
24 Chicago White Sox -6.6 3.9 -10.6
25 Toronto -7.4 -1.6 -5.8
26 Colorado -7.9 -1.9 -6.1
27 Los Angeles Angels -9.2 3.5 -12.7
28 Tampa Bay -9.7 3.9 -13.7
29 Pittsburgh -15.8 2.1 -17.8
30 Atlanta -17.0 -2.2 -14.8

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  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • March Madness Book
  • Rankings
    • College Basketball
    • NFL
    • College Football
    • World Soccer/Football
    • MLB
    • Cluster Luck
    • CFB yards per play
  • Members
    • My Account
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    • Become a member