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Cluster Luck

In baseball, teams have little control over the clustering of hits. Hence, we can use run creation formulas to estimate a team’s luck in clustering hits.

This table shows cluster luck for MLB teams in units of runs. A positive number implies good luck in all cases, e.g. positive cluster luck on defense implies a team allowed fewer runs than expected.

Rnk Team Total Off Def
1 New York Yankees 43.0 53.8 -10.7
2 New York Mets 39.6 42.6 -3.0
3 Baltimore 35.0 30.2 4.8
4 Los Angeles Dodgers 34.3 33.6 0.7
5 St. Louis 34.0 30.1 3.9
6 Arizona 31.8 64.2 -32.5
7 Seattle 30.8 20.1 10.6
8 Miami 18.9 9.2 9.7
9 Tampa Bay 17.3 35.5 -18.1
10 San Francisco 14.4 47.4 -33.0
11 Texas 12.9 51.6 -38.6
12 Oakland 9.2 39.5 -30.2
13 Cleveland 5.3 40.0 -34.7
14 Cincinnati 4.0 44.8 -40.9
15 San Diego 2.1 40.7 -38.6
16 Chicago Cubs -1.5 7.2 -8.7
17 Kansas City -2.4 8.1 -10.5
18 Atlanta -5.1 29.2 -34.3
19 Houston -5.9 6.0 -11.9
20 Philadelphia -6.7 33.1 -39.8
21 Chicago White Sox -11.6 32.8 -44.3
22 Minnesota -12.1 2.8 -14.9
23 Detroit -13.2 25.6 -38.8
24 Toronto -16.6 3.8 -20.3
25 Milwaukee -20.9 20.3 -41.3
26 Boston -26.2 18.8 -45.0
27 Colorado -33.3 15.6 -48.8
28 Los Angeles Angels -44.3 -9.8 -34.5
29 Pittsburgh -47.9 13.1 -61.0
30 Washington -51.7 -25.0 -26.6

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  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • The Craft of Sports Betting Professionals
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    • MLB
    • Cluster Luck
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