THE POWER RANK

Podcast: Connor Allen on NFL analytics, betting

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Connor Allen, the sports betting manager at 4for4 and host of the Move The Line podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:

  • How his NFL handicapping process involves analytics and watching games (6:34)
  • An NFL player receiving yards prop (16:22)
  • A week 8 NFL side (19:58)
  • Desmond Ridder (24:20)
  • Cincinnati at San Francisco (26:22)
  • Houston at Carolina (28:36)
  • Miami’s defense (36:25)
  • A surprise NFL prediction (40:00)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (45:38)
  • Seattle Seahawks (46:40)

Connor also talked about how he had a food business coming out of college in a great episode of the podcast. To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle:

This episode of The Football Analytics Show is also available on:

Podcast: 3 insights into college football based on advanced analytics

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After 7 weeks of the season, we now have some robust data with which to evaluate college football teams. This episode looks at whether to trust success rate or yards per play more and then digs into 3 teams.

This has big implications for a huge Big Ten game and the future of a conference that will not exist next season. To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.

This episode of The Football Analytics Show is also available on:

Podcast: Rob Pizzola on betting the NFL in 2023

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Rob Pizzola, a professional sports bettor that uses quantitative methods to bet the NFL, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:

  • The new data Rob and his team work with in 2023 (5:20)
  • NFL player prop betting (9:48)
  • New England at Las Vegas, NFL Week 6 bet (22:26)
  • Minnesota at Chicago, NFL Week 6 bet (23:50)
  • San Francisco destroys Dallas in Week 5, signal or noise? (31:10)
  • Los Angeles Rams (37:43)

Rob is an incredible guest for quantitative NFL betting. To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.

This episode of The Football Analytics Show is also available on:

Podcast: Fabian Sommer on betting the NFL in 2023

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Fabian Sommer, a professional NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:

  • Fabian’s process for handicapping the NFL (2:17)
  • Evaluating coordinators, Detroit OC Ben Johnson in particular (9:08)
  • A bet on Houston at Atlanta, NFL Week 5 (15:45)
  • If and when to get off your preseason prior (26:37)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (29:00)
  • Indianapolis Colts and Anthony Richardson (34:33)
  • Chicago Bears (36:34)
  • Handicapping rookie QB Aiden O’Connell (40:48)
  • Dallas at San Francisco (43:20)
  • Kansas City (46:09)

To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.

This episode of The Football Analytics Show is also available on:

Podcast: Do you make this mistake in predicting football?

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As an analytics person, you know better than to judge based on a small sample size. But do you know why this is so difficult?

The most recent episode of The Football Analytics Show digs into the cognitive science behind your tenuous relationship with randomness. I give you lots of examples, both old and new. I hope it feels like a short audiobook, but replacing the boredom with music.

To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.

This episode of The Football Analytics Show is also available on: