Sorry about getting these predictions up so late. However, we can now rank this weekend’s NFL games (not including the Thursday night Jacksonville at Atlanta game) by the algorithm we applied to the college football bowl games. It considers both the strength of the teams as well as the competitiveness of the game. Check out this article for the details. This is a work in progress, so please suggest any improvements to it.
1. Pittsburgh versus San Francisco. (0.59)
San Francisco (6) will beat Pittsburgh (7) by 2.2 at home. Pittsburgh has a 43% chance of beating San Francisco.
2. New York Jets versus Philadelphia. (0.48)
Philadelphia (18) will beat New York Jets (13) by 0.4 at home. New York Jets has a 49% chance of beating Philadelphia.
3. Detroit versus Oakland. (0.47)
Detroit (12) will beat Oakland (21) by 0.5 on the road. Oakland has a 48% chance of beating Detroit.
4. New England versus Denver. (0.43)
New England (4) will beat Denver (19) by 4.8 on the road. Denver has a 35% chance of beating New England.
5. Baltimore versus San Diego. (0.43)
Baltimore (2) will beat San Diego (16) by 6.2 on the road. San Diego has a 31% chance of beating Baltimore.
6. Dallas versus Tampa Bay. (0.39)
Dallas (15) will beat Tampa Bay (26) by 1.9 on the road. Tampa Bay has a 44% chance of beating Dallas.
7. Miami versus Buffalo. (0.38)
Buffalo (25) will beat Miami (22) by 1.2 at home. Miami has a 46% chance of beating Buffalo.
8. Seattle versus Chicago. (0.36)
Chicago (9) will beat Seattle (17) by 5.3 at home. Seattle has a 34% chance of beating Chicago.
9. Carolina versus Houston. (0.26)
Houston (5) will beat Carolina (23) by 10.2 at home. Carolina has a 22% chance of beating Houston.
10. Washington versus New York Giants. (0.24)
New York Giants (14) will beat Washington (27) by 6.9 at home. Washington has a 30% chance of beating New York Giants.
11. New Orleans versus Minnesota. (0.23)
New Orleans (3) will beat Minnesota (29) by 10.4 on the road. Minnesota has a 21% chance of beating New Orleans.
12. Green Bay versus Kansas City. (0.23)
Green Bay (1) will beat Kansas City (28) by 15.5 on the road. Kansas City has a 12% chance of beating Green Bay.
13. Cincinnati versus St. Louis. (0.21)
Cincinnati (11) will beat St. Louis (31) by 6.2 on the road. St. Louis has a 31% chance of beating Cincinnati.
14. Cleveland versus Arizona. (0.20)
Arizona (20) will beat Cleveland (30) by 6.3 at home. Cleveland has a 31% chance of beating Arizona.
15. Tennessee versus Indianapolis. (0.13)
Tennessee (10) will beat Indianapolis (32) by 8.4 on the road. Indianapolis has a 26% chance of beating Tennessee.
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—About The Power Rank.
—Ranking college football bowl games: a viewer’s guide.
—College football’s incredibly slow progress towards a playoff.
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