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NFL Predictions, Week 8, 2011

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

New England (2) will beat Pittsburgh (11) by 5.1 on the road. Pittsburgh has a 0.34 chance of beating New England.

Baltimore (3) will beat Arizona (29) by 16.5 at home. Arizona has a 0.11 chance of beating Baltimore.

Detroit (4) will beat Denver (26) by 7.6 on the road. Denver has a 0.28 chance of beating Detroit.

San Francisco (5) will beat Cleveland (30) by 14.7 at home. Cleveland has a 0.14 chance of beating San Francisco.

New Orleans (6) will beat St. Louis (32) by 13.7 on the road. St. Louis has a 0.15 chance of beating New Orleans.

Dallas (8) will beat Philadelphia (18) by 2.7 on the road. Philadelphia has a 0.42 chance of beating Dallas.

Houston (10) will beat Jacksonville (25) by 8.7 at home. Jacksonville has a 0.25 chance of beating Houston.

Cincinnati (12) will beat Seattle (27) by 4.9 on the road. Seattle has a 0.35 chance of beating Cincinnati.

San Diego (13) will beat Kansas City (23) by 1.6 on the road. Kansas City has a 0.45 chance of beating San Diego.

Buffalo (16) will beat Washington (21) by 4.6 at home. Washington has a 0.36 chance of beating Buffalo.

Tennessee (19) will beat Indianapolis (28) by 6.8 at home. Indianapolis has a 0.30 chance of beating Tennessee.

Carolina (22) will beat Minnesota (20) by 1.9 at home. Minnesota has a 0.44 chance of beating Carolina.

New York Giants (24) will beat Miami (31) by 7.1 at home. Miami has a 0.29 chance of beating New York Giants.

Filed Under: Football Analytics, National Football League, NFL 2011, NFL Predictions, Sports Wagering

NFL Predictions, Week 7, 2011

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

Green Bay (2) will beat Minnesota (22) by 11.5 on the road. Minnesota has a 0.19 chance of beating Green Bay.

Baltimore (3) will beat Jacksonville (28) by 13.1 on the road. Jacksonville has a 0.16 chance of beating Baltimore.

Detroit (4) will beat Atlanta (20) by 10.2 at home. Atlanta has a 0.22 chance of beating Detroit.

New York Jets (6) will beat San Diego (10) by 3.7 at home. San Diego has a 0.38 chance of beating New York Jets.

Dallas (7) will beat St. Louis (32) by 15.6 at home. St. Louis has a 0.12 chance of beating Dallas.

Pittsburgh (8) will beat Arizona (25) by 6.4 on the road. Arizona has a 0.31 chance of beating Pittsburgh.

New Orleans (9) will beat Indianapolis (23) by 9.2 at home. Indianapolis has a 0.24 chance of beating New Orleans.

Tennessee (11) will beat Houston (17) by 3.5 at home. Houston has a 0.39 chance of beating Tennessee.

Oakland (12) will beat Kansas City (31) by 10.7 at home. Kansas City has a 0.21 chance of beating Oakland.

Tampa Bay (16) will beat Chicago (14) by 1.7 at home. Chicago has a 0.45 chance of beating Tampa Bay.

Washington (19) will beat Carolina (26) by 3.3 on the road. Carolina has a 0.40 chance of beating Washington.

Miami (30) will beat Denver (24) by 0.2 at home. Denver has a 0.49 chance of beating Miami.

Cleveland (29) will beat Seattle (27) by 1.6 at home. Seattle has a 0.45 chance of beating Cleveland.

Filed Under: Football Analytics, National Football League, NFL 2011, NFL Predictions, Sports Wagering

NFL Predictions, Week 5, 2011

By Dr. Ed Feng 1 Comment

New England (1) will beat New York Jets (12) by 16.5 at home. New York Jets has a 0.11 chance of beating New England.

Green Bay (2) will beat Atlanta (17) by 9.2 on the road. Atlanta has a 0.24 chance of beating Green Bay.

Detroit (4) will beat Chicago (8) by 5.8 at home. Chicago has a 0.33 chance of beating Detroit.

New Orleans (5) will beat Carolina (26) by 8.6 on the road. Carolina has a 0.25 chance of beating New Orleans.

Houston (6) will beat Oakland (11) by 4.0 at home. Oakland has a 0.38 chance of beating Houston.

San Diego (7) will beat Denver (27) by 6.1 on the road. Denver has a 0.32 chance of beating San Diego.

Tampa Bay (9) will beat San Francisco (18) by 0.2 on the road. San Francisco has a 0.49 chance of beating Tampa Bay.

Pittsburgh (10) will beat Tennessee (13) by 3.0 at home. Tennessee has a 0.41 chance of beating Pittsburgh.

Buffalo (14) will beat Philadelphia (19) by 3.8 at home. Philadelphia has a 0.38 chance of beating Buffalo.

New York Giants (15) will beat Seattle (31) by 10.8 at home. Seattle has a 0.20 chance of beating New York Giants.

Cincinnati (20) will beat Jacksonville (25) by 1.5 on the road. Jacksonville has a 0.45 chance of beating Cincinnati.

Minnesota (22) will beat Arizona (28) by 6.3 at home. Arizona has a 0.31 chance of beating Minnesota.

Indianapolis (24) will beat Kansas City (30) by 4.7 at home. Kansas City has a 0.36 chance of beating Indianapolis.

Filed Under: Football Analytics, National Football League, NFL 2011, NFL Predictions

NFL Predictions, Week 4, 2011

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

It’s still early in the season, and New England’s rating is still probably too high. St. Louis, as -10.96, might be too low as well. The 2008 Detroit Lions, the team that went 0-16, had a final rating of -9.87.

New England (1) will beat Oakland (17) by 12.0 on the road. Oakland has a 0.18 chance of beating New England.

Green Bay (2) will beat Denver (27) by 19.8 at home. Denver has a 0.08 chance of beating Green Bay.

Baltimore (3) will beat New York Jets (8) by 6.8 at home. New York Jets has a 0.30 chance of beating Baltimore.

New Orleans (4) will beat Jacksonville (25) by 7.6 on the road. Jacksonville has a 0.28 chance of beating New Orleans.

Detroit (5) will beat Dallas (11) by 0.1 on the road. Dallas has a 0.50 chance of beating Detroit.

Houston (7) will beat Pittsburgh (6) by 1.3 at home. Pittsburgh has a 0.46 chance of beating Houston.

Chicago (9) will beat Carolina (28) by 11.7 at home. Carolina has a 0.19 chance of beating Chicago.

Tampa Bay (10) will beat Indianapolis (20) by 5.7 at home. Indianapolis has a 0.33 chance of beating Tampa Bay.

San Diego (12) will beat Miami (24) by 7.9 at home. Miami has a 0.27 chance of beating San Diego.

Buffalo (13) will beat Cincinnati (23) by 1.6 on the road. Cincinnati has a 0.45 chance of beating Buffalo.

New York Giants (14) will beat Arizona (29) by 5.8 on the road. Arizona has a 0.33 chance of beating New York Giants.

Philadelphia (15) will beat San Francisco (22) by 5.3 at home. San Francisco has a 0.34 chance of beating Philadelphia.

Atlanta (16) will beat Seattle (31) by 7.3 on the road. Seattle has a 0.29 chance of beating Atlanta.

Tennessee (18) will beat Cleveland (26) by 2.7 on the road. Cleveland has a 0.42 chance of beating Tennessee.

Washington (19) will beat St. Louis (32) by 8.6 on the road. St. Louis has a 0.25 chance of beating Washington.

Minnesota (21) will beat Kansas City (30) by 4.4 on the road. Kansas City has a 0.36 chance of beating Minnesota.

Filed Under: Football Analytics, National Football League, NFL 2011, NFL Predictions

NFL Predictions, Week 3, 2011

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

Please keep in mind that these are based on early season rankings. These rankings include games from last year as well as two weeks of games this year, which are weighted twice as heavily. New England’s rating is probably too high, and no one should attempt to evaluate Indianapolis without Peyton Manning at this point.

New England will beat Buffalo by 13.0 on the road

Green Bay will beat Chicago by 8.0 on the road

New Orleans will beat Houston by 0.8 at home

New York Jets will beat Oakland by 6.4 on the road

Detroit will beat Minnesota by 8.8 on the road

Dallas will beat Washington by 8.4 at home

San Diego will beat Kansas City by 25.2 at home

Tennessee will beat Denver by 8.7 at home

Baltimore will beat St. Louis by 14.1 on the road

Tampa Bay will beat Atlanta by 6.7 at home

Cincinnati will beat San Francisco by 0.7 at home

Arizona will beat Seattle by 11.6 on the road

Philadelphia will beat New York Giants by 9.9 at home

Miami will beat Cleveland by 3.0 on the road

Carolina will beat Jacksonville by 4.0 at home

Pittsburgh will beat Indianapolis by 1.6 on the road

Filed Under: NFL 2011, NFL Predictions

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