I’ve been playing with a new model for team rankings the first few weeks of the season, and they’re like your Grandpa that doesn’t have a cell phone. They don’t react too fast to new data.
But the new model does consider Louisville’s extraordinary performance this season, and they have a 48.8% chance to make the playoff.
The problem was Florida State. Despite the huge loss, the Seminoles still have a 38.8% chance to make the playoff. That seems high, but there’s a good reason.
To check out all my playoff odds on Bleacher Report and the reasons why Florida State still has a better chance at the playoffs than Ohio State, click here.