THE POWER RANK

  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • March Madness Book
  • Rankings
    • NFL
    • College Football
    • MLB
    • Cluster Luck
    • College Basketball
    • NBA
    • CFB yards per play
    • World Soccer/Football
  • Members
    • My Account
    • Login
    • Become a member
    • COVID-19 Policy
  • Log in

Analysis of 2016 College Football Playoff Semi-final games

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

Let’s not coronate Alabama champion just yet. Over on Bleacher Report, I wrote about the College Football Playoff from an analytics perspective.

Alabama is the clear favorite, and I even like their chances to cover two touchdowns against Washington in the first semi-final.

But that dang football bounces in funny ways sometimes. A few turnovers here, maybe some subpar play from Nick Saban’s team, you never know.

Ohio State and Clemson features some interesting match ups, as both teams have their strengths on offense and defense.

To check out my analysis, click here.

Filed Under: Alabama Crimson Tide, Bleacher Report Column, Clemson Tigers, College Football, College football 2016, College football playoff probabilities, Ohio State Buckeyes, Washington Huskies

Predicting the final college football playoff committee rankings of 2016

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

screen-shot-2016-12-04-at-2-19-25-pmLast night, I predicted what the college football playoff committee would release today as its final rankings. I got the top 4 correct, as Clemson did jump over Ohio State to claim the 2nd seed.

However, I had Michigan ahead of Penn State at 5th and 6th respectively, as it seemed insane to move Penn State ahead of a team to which they suffered a 39 point defeat. The committee moved Penn State ahead of Michigan anyway.

I list odds for all match ups between the four teams in the playoff at the bottom of the article.

To check out the article, click here.

Filed Under: Bleacher Report Column, College Football, College football 2016

College football playoff probabilities before championship week, 2016

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

screen-shot-2016-11-30-at-10-17-34-amOver at Bleacher Report, I wrote about my final college football playoff odds for the season. Alabama, Clemson and Washington are in with wins in their conference championship games, and the Big 12 is out.

There remains some uncertainty for the remaining top teams, most of which reside in the Big Ten. My article discusses the following:

  • Ohio State is not a lock, but it would take a lot to move them out of the top 4.
  • Michigan isn’t dead just yet.
  • How in the world is the champion of the conference with 4 of the top 7 teams on the outside looking in?

To check out the article, click here.

Filed Under: Bleacher Report Column, College football 2016, College football playoff probabilities

College football playoff probabilities after week 12, 2016

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

screen-shot-2016-11-23-at-10-33-52-amOver at Bleacher Report, I posted my odds for each team to make the college football playoff. This week’s article looks at:

  • Michigan at Ohio State, a critical game in the playoff picture.
  • With 4 teams in the top 7, the chance that the Big Ten gets two teams.
  • Apple Cup between Washington and Washington State.
  • The USC dilemma, since the Trojans are generating much debate.

To read the article on Bleacher Report, click here.

Filed Under: Bleacher Report Column, College Football, College football 2016, College football playoff probabilities

How Louisville gets into the college football playoff

By Dr. Ed Feng 1 Comment

screen-shot-2016-11-17-at-11-02-33-amAfter a week of utter chaos, the committee told us they still like Michigan and Clemson over Louisville.

This isn’t what my algorithm expects from the committee. Usually, teams move down when they lose. Michigan lost in stunning fashion to Iowa but stayed at 3rd. Clemson had a similar loss to Pittsburgh but only dropped from 2nd to 4th.

The loser in these decisions is Louisville at 5th. With the strange behavior of this committee, I’m starting to believe that my 55% for Louisville to make the playoff is too high.

But maybe not. Louisville has to hope that Ohio State wins the Big Ten, which does two things.

  • Eliminates Michigan, since Ohio State plays them next week.
  • Eliminates Ohio State as another potential one loss non-conference champions looking to get into the playoff.

Then Louisville needs a two or three loss team to win the Pac-12 (Colorado, Utah, USC still in contention for the South), which would eliminate Washington from contention. This all assumes that Clemson wins the ACC Atlantic, denying Louisville the chance to win the ACC.

Still, their likelihood is probably less than 55%.

To check out all of my playoff odds at Bleacher Report, click here.

Filed Under: Bleacher Report Column, College football 2016, College Football Analytics, College football playoff probabilities, Louisville Cardinals

Next Page »

Predictions from Ed Feng

I use my Stanford Ph.D. in applied math to make football and March Madness predictions.

To get a sample of my best American football predictions and March Madness cheat sheet, sign up for my free email newsletter.

Enter your email and click on "Sign up now!"

Popular Articles

  • How to predict interceptions in the NFL
  • The ultimate guide to predictive college basketball analytics
  • Accurate football predictions with linear regression
  • The surprising truth about passing and rushing in the NFL
  • Football analytics resource guide
  • The Reason You Can’t Avoid The Curse of Small Sample Size
  • The essential guide to predictive CFB rankings
  • How computer rankings make you smarter about sports
  • How to win your college football bowl pool
  • Do you make these 3 mistakes with college football statistics?
  • How to win your NCAA tournament pool
  • The Top 10 Things to Know About The Power Rank’s Methods
  • 5 insights from academic research on predicting world soccer/football matches

Recent Articles

  • Podcast: Drew Dinsick on Predicting NFL Conference Championship Games
  • Members: Football analysis for NFL Conference Championship, 2020 season
  • Podcast: Chris Andrews on Predicting the NFL Divisional Playoff
  • Members: Football analysis for NFL Divisional Playoff, January 16-17, 2021
  • Podcast: Fabian Sommer on Predicting the NFL Wild Card Playoff

© 2021 The Power Rank Inc., All rights reserved.

About, Terms of Use, Privacy Policy

Get a sample of my best football predictions

While I usually save my best predictions for paying members of the site, I offer a sample in my weekly email newsletter.


To get this service, sign up for my free email newsletter.


Enter your email and click on "Sign up now!"

No thanks, I'll make predictions without data and analytics.

{"cookieName":"wBounce","isAggressive":false,"isSitewide":true,"hesitation":"","openAnimation":false,"exitAnimation":false,"timer":"","sensitivity":"","cookieExpire":"","cookieDomain":"","autoFire":"","isAnalyticsEnabled":true}
  • About
    • About The Power Rank
    • Start Here
    • Contact
  • Predictions
    • Games
    • March Madness
  • Content
    • Must Read
    • Blog
    • Podcast
    • March Madness Book
  • Rankings
    • NFL
    • College Football
    • MLB
    • Cluster Luck
    • College Basketball
    • NBA
    • CFB yards per play
    • World Soccer/Football
  • Members
    • My Account
    • Login
    • Become a member
    • COVID-19 Policy