Podcast: Dr. Eric Eager on football analytics, NFL conference championship games

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, Dr. Eric Eager, data scientist at Pro Football Focus, joins me to talk analytics and make predictions. Eric got his Ph.D. at the University of Nebraska Lincoln and was a professor at the University of Wisconsin La Crosse.

Among other topics, we discuss:

  • whether you need a Ph.D. to do data science in 2019 (7:30)
  • how PFF makes predictions based on charting grades (9:17)
  • the predictive stat for quarterbacks relevant to Tom Brady vs Pat Mahomes (23:28)
  • how to evaluate pass rush better than looking at sacks (30:38)
  • the frontier in football analytics that most excites Eric (35:50)

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Podcast: Whale Capper on predicting NFL Divisional Playoffs based on seismic engineering

On this episode of The Football Analytics, I talk with Drew, who goes by Whale Capper on Twitter. He uses his background in earthquake engineering to handicap NFL games.

Among other topics, we discuss:

  • How preparing buildings for earthquakes translates to predicting NFL games (3:09)
  • How the total can help you find value on a side (7:54)
  • How Drew uses numbers to find value in the NFL markets, an approach I wholeheartedly endore (12:20)
  • The volatile NFL team that hits the road for their next playoff game (17:23)
  • The one player who has befuddled Whale Capper over the past 2 seasons (25:21)

The breakdown of the NFL Divisional Playoff games start at 9:20.

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In the last section, Drew and I talk about having dinner with Isaac Newton (31:08). This reminds me the Cosmos episode that tells the amazing story of his collaboration with Edmund Halley. To watch this episode, click here.

Podcast: College football title game and Super Bowl odds

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I start with the college football championship game between Alabama and Clemson, and how it’s a much different game from last year’s match up. (1:12)

Then I dig into my new calculations for Super Bowl win probabilities and identify the team with the best chance. But can this team’s defense hold up? (5:29)

Last, I look at a sleeper team to win the Super Bowl. But really, the NFL playoff system is working against this team. (9:00)

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Member Super Bowl probabilities for 2019

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Podcast: Dave Bartoo on college football predictions, 2018

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, Dave Bartoo, the CFB Matrix, joins me to talk about his college football analytics and predictions.  Among other topics, we get into:

  • How he advises administrators` on hiring coaches
  • The college football coach that survived despite winning 3 games less than he should have
  • 2 college football bowl games with value
  • Whether any team can catch Alabama and Clemson atop college football
  • His rule that Alabama broke in making the playoff this year

While Dave is always entertaining, the last segment is particularly hilarious.  Also, I debuted a new non-sports questions at the end, which led to an interesting discussion.

You can find all of Dave’s college football content on his Patreon site.

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