Podcast: Dave Bartoo on college football predictions, 2018

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, Dave Bartoo, the CFB Matrix, joins me to talk about his college football analytics and predictions.  Among other topics, we get into:

  • How he advises administrators` on hiring coaches
  • The college football coach that survived despite winning 3 games less than he should have
  • 2 college football bowl games with value
  • Whether any team can catch Alabama and Clemson atop college football
  • His rule that Alabama broke in making the playoff this year

While Dave is always entertaining, the last segment is particularly hilarious.  Also, I debuted a new non-sports questions at the end, which led to an interesting discussion.

You can find all of Dave’s college football content on his Patreon site.

To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.

To listen on Apple Podcasts, click here.

Podcast: How to win your 2018 bowl pool

You want to win your 2018 bowl pool.  But you probably don’t have the time to research all 41 games that ESPN has in its contest.

I can help.  In this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I discuss 3 tips for winning your bowl pool.

To explain the first tip, I use Steph Curry as an example.  The second tip relates whether you want to enter a pool with confidence points or not.

The third tip asks you to think contrarian.  I offer Virginia Tech versus Cincinnati as an example, and argue that you must consider context in making these selections.

To listen, click on the right pointing triangle:

To listen on iTunes, click here.

Special podcast episode: The Curse of Small Sample Size

I’m testing a hypothesis this week.

I believe the power of audio is hearing authentic voices.

And not just the voices of experts and professionals, the folks I usually interview on the podcast. The voices of fans.

In this special, story telling episode of The Football Analytics Show, we feature the following folks in discussing small sample size:

  • long suffering Washington Redskins fans
  • a Nebraska fan after their 0-6 start
  • a sports bettor

Humans have an amazing tendency to create a story based on small sample size. One factor makes this worse, and I’m in no way immune from the effects. I tell my story at the end.

To listen, click on the right pointing triangle:

To listen on iTunes, click here.

Podcast: Bud Elliott on college football analytics and betting

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, I’m joined by Bud Elliott of SB Nation. He’s also the founder of Tomahawk Nation and hosts The Nolecast podcast.

Among other topics, we discuss:

  • How Bud made a name for himself through a Florida State prediction (5:28)
  • How to make success rate an even better efficiency metric (12:15)
  • His process for picking games for his college football betting column (13:45)
  • How a simple metric identifies national title contenders 3 months ago (20:18)
  • The Malcolm Gladwell book that informs his coverage of recruiting (37:00)

With such a wide range of college football knowledge, Bud was a must listen guest.

At the end, I give my own book recommendations.  I forgot to mention that both books are relatively easy reads, good for sneaking in quality literature during busy times.

To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle.

To listen on iTunes, click here.

Podcast: 3 college football predictions for Thanksgiving week, 2018

On this short solo episode, I dig 3 fascinating college football stories:

  • The great Alabama versus Michigan debate, and why it’s not much of a debate (0:41)
  • How the markets split a difference in Michigan at Ohio State (5:19)
  • The hilarity in making predictions for Oklahoma at West Virginia (9:06)

To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle:

To listen on iTunes, click here.