Interceptions play a critical role in football. However, randomness plays a big role, which makes these critical plays difficult to predict.
This episode describes my research into how to predict interceptions. The narrative starts in football but then ventures into some ideas about skill vs luck from Michael Maubossian’s book The Success Equation. Interceptions are also compared with three pointers in basketball.
This was originally released as a paid product, but now I am putting it out there for free. To listen here, click on the right pointing triangle:
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