I’m working on baseball predictions, and these predictions look pretty stupid in April unless you use preseason expectations.
These ensemble win total predictions combine the markets with 4 different computer models (Joe Peta, Clay Davenport, PECOTA and Fangraphs).
1. Los Angeles Dodgers, 94.9
2. Chicago Cubs, 94.6
3. Cleveland, 92.6
4. Houston, 92.1
5. Washington, 90.5
6. Boston, 90.2
7. San Francisco, 88.1
8. New York Mets, 86.8
9. Seattle, 84.8
10. Texas, 84.5
11. Toronto, 84.4
12. St. Louis, 83.1
13. Pittsburgh, 82.6
14. New York Yankees, 81.5
15. Detroit, 81.2
16. Tampa Bay, 80.5
17. Los Angeles Angels, 80.4
18. Baltimore, 78.8
19. Colorado, 78.2
20. Miami, 77.8
21. Arizona, 77.5
22. Atlanta, 75.4
23. Minnesota, 75.1
24. Oakland, 74.9
25. Kansas City, 74.8
26. Philadelphia, 71.6
27. Milwaukee, 71.1
28. Chicago White Sox, 70.5
29. Cincinnati, 70.2
30. San Diego, 66.8
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