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NFL Predictions, Week 16, December 24, 2011

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

Houston at Indianapolis must have seemed like a tremendous Thursday night matchup before Peyton Manning got hurt. With the Colts’ struggles this year, this game ranks 15th (out of 16) this week. These new game rankings consider both team strength and an excitement factor from an expected close finish. The game rating next to the matchup has a maximum value of 1. Note the majority of games are on Saturday due to Christmas on Sunday.

1. San Diego versus Detroit. (0.49)
Detroit (12) will beat San Diego (10) by 1.3 at home. San Diego has a 46% chance of beating Detroit.

2. San Francisco versus Seattle. (0.48)
San Francisco (3) will beat Seattle (16) by 4.1 on the road. Seattle has a 37% chance of beating San Francisco.

3. New York Giants versus New York Jets. (0.45)
New York Jets (15) will beat New York Giants (14) by 2.1 at home. New York Giants has a 44% chance of beating New York Jets.

4. Atlanta versus New Orleans. (0.44)
New Orleans (4) will beat Atlanta (8) by 6.2 at home. Atlanta has a 31% chance of beating New Orleans.

5. Philadelphia versus Dallas. (0.44)
Dallas (9) will beat Philadelphia (13) by 3.1 at home. Philadelphia has a 40% chance of beating Dallas.

6. Denver versus Buffalo. (0.41)
Buffalo (26) will beat Denver (22) by 0.7 at home. Denver has a 48% chance of beating Buffalo.

7. Arizona versus Cincinnati. (0.38)
Cincinnati (17) will beat Arizona (20) by 3.5 at home. Arizona has a 39% chance of beating Cincinnati.

8. Chicago versus Green Bay. (0.37)
Green Bay (1) will beat Chicago (11) by 11.0 at home. Chicago has a 20% chance of beating Green Bay.

9. Oakland versus Kansas City. (0.37)
Kansas City (25) will beat Oakland (24) by 1.8 at home. Oakland has a 44% chance of beating Kansas City.

10. Miami versus New England. (0.31)
New England (2) will beat Miami (19) by 10.4 at home. Miami has a 21% chance of beating New England.

11. Jacksonville versus Tennessee. (0.25)
Tennessee (18) will beat Jacksonville (27) by 5.9 at home. Jacksonville has a 32% chance of beating Tennessee.

12. Tampa Bay versus Carolina. (0.24)
Carolina (21) will beat Tampa Bay (28) by 5.6 at home. Tampa Bay has a 33% chance of beating Carolina.

13. Minnesota versus Washington. (0.20)
Washington (23) will beat Minnesota (30) by 5.8 at home. Minnesota has a 32% chance of beating Washington.

14. Cleveland versus Baltimore. (0.16)
Baltimore (5) will beat Cleveland (29) by 13.2 at home. Cleveland has a 16% chance of beating Baltimore.

15. Houston versus Indianapolis. (0.16)
Houston (7) will beat Indianapolis (32) by 9.4 on the road. Indianapolis has a 23% chance of beating Houston.

16. St. Louis versus Pittsburgh. (0.09)
Pittsburgh (6) will beat St. Louis (31) by 13.8 at home. St. Louis has a 15% chance of beating Pittsburgh.

Filed Under: Football Analytics, National Football League, NFL 2011, NFL Predictions, Sports Wagering

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