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NFL Predictions, Week 16

By Dr. Ed Feng Leave a Comment

First, a little disclosure on what’s going on with these rankings and predictions. We’re using a home field advantage of 2.5 in the NFL rankings. This number is most likely off; it’s probably closer to 3.0. We have the data to check this and will do this soon. Also, we’ve been adding 2.5 points to the home team in making the predictions. But when Tom used 3.0 as home field advantage in his post last week, we gave predictions that also used 3.0. But that was just a fluke last week. Until we get a precise home field advantage based on data, we’re going back to 2.5. In fact, that’s the number used when we claim the predictions went 7 for 11 last week (didn’t bet on 5 games).

For the upcoming week:

Pittsburgh will beat Carolina by 19.0 at home

Dallas will beat Arizona by 4.1 on the road

Miami will beat Detroit by 4.0 at home

St. Louis will beat San Francisco by 3.4 at home

Chicago will beat New York Jets by 2.1 at home

New England will beat Buffalo by 8.7 on the road

Jacksonville will beat Washington by 3.5 at home

Kansas City will beat Tennessee by 0.3 at home

Baltimore will beat Cleveland by 1.4 on the road

Indianapolis will beat Oakland by 1.2 on the road

Houston will beat Denver by 1.6 on the road

San Diego will beat Cincinnati by 5.0 on the road

Tampa Bay will beat Seattle by 5.4 at home

Green Bay will beat New York Giants by 7.9 at home

Philadelphia will beat Minnesota by 10.5 at home

Atlanta will beat New Orleans by 4.8 at home

Filed Under: National Football League

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  • About
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