Predictions

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Stanford_2014_preseason_teampage
Members of The Power Rank have access to predictions for FBS versus FCS games as well. To learn more, click here.

College Football, Week 1, FBS v FBS games

7. Miami (FL) at Louisville. (0.52)
Miami (FL) (33) will beat Louisville (53) by 0.5 on the road. Louisville has a 49% chance of beating Miami (FL).

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Major League Baseball

The matchup shows the xFIP for each starting pitcher, with innings pitched if you should worry about small sample size.

The integer in parentheses gives the team’s rank in The Power Rank. Win probabilities are too high for Oakland but too low for Tampa Bay.

Games on Monday, September 01, 2014.

Philadelphia (Cole Hamels, 3.19) at Atlanta (Julio Teheran, 3.77).
Atlanta (12) has a 55.8 chance to beat Philadelphia (26).

New York Mets (Zack Wheeler, 3.54) at Miami (Henderson Alvarez, 3.52).
Miami (22) has a 52.3 chance to beat New York Mets (19).

Pittsburgh (Gerrit Cole, 3.53, 98.2 IP) at St. Louis (Lance Lynn, 3.82).
Pittsburgh (14) has a 50.1 chance to beat St. Louis (17).

Milwaukee (Jimmy Nelson, 3.93, 52.2 IP) at Chicago Cubs (Jacob Turner, 3.97, 86.1 IP).
Milwaukee (16) has a 51.9 chance to beat Chicago Cubs (27).

Arizona (Trevor Cahill, 3.73, 86.2 IP) at San Diego (Tyson Ross, 3.14).
San Diego (20) has a 63.4 chance to beat Arizona (30).

San Francisco (Tim Hudson, 3.50) at Colorado (Franklin Morales, 4.54).
San Francisco (9) has a 64.0 chance to beat Colorado (29).

Washington (Gio Gonzalez, 3.47) at Los Angeles Dodgers (Roberto Hernandez, 4.52).
Washington (5) has a 57.9 chance to beat Los Angeles Dodgers (7).

Boston (Rubby de la Rosa, 4.19, 82.2 IP) at Tampa Bay (Drew Smyly, 3.83).
Tampa Bay (11) has a 60.9 chance to beat Boston (23).

Minnesota (Phil Hughes, 3.19) at Baltimore (Kevin Gausman, 4.10, 82.0 IP).
Baltimore (4) has a 55.6 chance to beat Minnesota (21).

Detroit (David Price, 2.73) at Cleveland (Corey Kluber, 2.73).
Cleveland (10) has a 52.3 chance to beat Detroit (6).

Seattle (Chris Young, 5.22) at Oakland (Jason Hammel, 3.65).
Oakland (1) has a 67.3 chance to beat Seattle (3).

Texas (Colby Lewis, 4.30) at Kansas City (Yordano Ventura, 3.71).
Kansas City (8) has a 66.0 chance to beat Texas (28).

Brief Summary

These predictions are based on the team rankings, which take the margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule. The number in parenthesis next to each team gives its rank.

The predictions include a uniform constant for home field advantage. For more details, click here.

In addition, games are ranked by the quality of the teams and closeness the expected outcome. Think of this as a viewer’s guide. The larger the number in parenthesis next to the game, the more likely you’ll want to watch.

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