The Power Rank uses analytics for better sports predictions. NBA playoff and MLB predictions are below.
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Do you need accurate college and pro football predictions?
Each week during football season, I offer a sample of my football predictions to my free email newsletter. During the 2015 season, these college football predictions predicted the winner in 76.2% of games (583-182, doesn’t include cupcakte FBS vs FCS games).
Won a couple bowl pick’em tourneys this year with help from your predictions. The pools I entered were confidence point based and were also against the spread picks. TCU sealed the deal for me in both pools.
Anthony, 2015 season.
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My rankings were a part of an academic study on making football predictions.
To check out my Euro 2016 win probabilities before the knock out stage started, click here.
Monday, June 27, 2016
Italy vs Spain: Spain has a 49.5% chance to win. Italy has a 21.8% chance to win. There is a 28.7% chance for a tie.
England vs Iceland: England has a 55.3% chance to win. Iceland has a 19.8% chance to win. There is a 24.9% chance for a tie.
Major League Baseball
The matchup shows the projected FIP (adjusted ERA) for each starting pitcher according to ZiPS.
The integer in parentheses gives the team’s rank in The Power Rank.
Since Jun 17, 2016, the team with the higher win probability has won 74 of 140 games for a win percentage of 52.9%.
The team favored by the markets has won 82.5 of 140 games for a win percentage of 58.9%.
Games on Monday, June 27, 2016.
Los Angeles Dodgers (Scott Kazmir, 3.74) at Pittsburgh (Francisco Liriano, 3.83).
Los Angeles Dodgers (5) has a 57.7 chance to beat Pittsburgh (20).
New York Mets (Noah Syndergaard, 2.68) at Washington (Joe Ross, 3.79).
Washington (4) has a 50.8 chance to beat New York Mets (12).
Chicago Cubs (Jake Arrieta, 2.77) at Cincinnati (Dan Straily, 4.74).
Chicago Cubs (1) has a 85.6 chance to beat Cincinnati (30).
Philadelphia (Vincent Velasquez, 3.64) at Arizona (Robbie Ray, 3.92).
Arizona (14) has a 60.4 chance to beat Philadelphia (28).
Texas (Chi Chi Gonzalez, 4.62) at New York Yankees (Ivan Nova, 4.56).
Texas (15) has a 53.2 chance to beat New York Yankees (22).
Boston (Eduardo Rodriguez, 3.99) at Tampa Bay (Blake Snell, 4.18).
Boston (2) has a 63.0 chance to beat Tampa Bay (18).
Houston (Collin McHugh, 3.63) at Los Angeles Angels (Matt Shoemaker, 3.81).
Houston (16) has a 56.1 chance to beat Los Angeles Angels (24).
Cleveland (Trevor Bauer, 3.98) at Atlanta (John Gant, 4.35).
Cleveland (7) has a 64.7 chance to beat Atlanta (25).
St. Louis (Adam Wainwright, 3.33) at Kansas City (Danny Duffy, 4.10).
St. Louis (3) has a 65.3 chance to beat Kansas City (17).
Toronto (Marco Estrada, 4.46) at Colorado (Jon Gray, 4.04).
Colorado (10) has a 53.0 chance to beat Toronto (8).
Using replacement level fip for Daniel Mengden
Oakland (Daniel Mengden, 5.00) at San Francisco (Jeff Samardzija, 3.38).
San Francisco (6) has a 75.9 chance to beat Oakland (27).
During the 2015 season, the college football predictions posted here predicted the winner in 76.1% of games (570-179, doesn’t include any FBS vs FCS games).
National Football League
National Basketball Association
To see my numbers prior to the start of the playoffs, check out the interactive visual for NBA win probabilities.