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NBA Playoff Probabilities

Screen Shot 2016-04-15 at 12.14.05 PMThese numbers come from rankings that use data from games and the markets. To see my numbers for the entire playoffs, check out the interactive visual for NBA win probabilities.

To see these odds at the beginning of the series, click here.

Oklahoma City vs Golden State.
Oklahoma City, the away team up 2-1, has a 50.7 percent chance of winning the series.

Toronto vs Cleveland.
Cleveland, the home team tied 2-2, has a 72.3 percent chance of winning the series.

National Basketball Association

Games on Tuesday, May 24, 2016.

1. Golden State at Oklahoma City.
Oklahoma City (3) will beat Golden State (1) by 0.9 at home. Golden State has a 47% chance of beating Oklahoma City.

Major League Baseball

The matchup shows the projected FIP (adjusted ERA) for each starting pitcher according to ZiPS.

The integer in parentheses gives the team’s rank in The Power Rank.

Since Apr 22, 2016, the team with the higher win probability has won 250 of 435 games for a win percentage of 57.5%.

The team favored by the markets has won 251.5 of 435 games for a win percentage of 57.8%.

Games on Tuesday, May 24, 2016.

New York Mets (Matt Harvey, 3.04) at Washington (Stephen Strasburg, 2.77).
Washington (3) has a 55.9 chance to beat New York Mets (6).

Arizona (Shelby Miller, 4.21) at Pittsburgh (Francisco Liriano, 3.47).
Pittsburgh (15) has a 55.0 chance to beat Arizona (10).

Milwaukee (Jimmy Nelson, 4.14) at Atlanta (Julio Teheran, 3.96).
Atlanta (27) has a 54.3 chance to beat Milwaukee (28).

Chicago Cubs (Jason Hammel, 3.97) at St. Louis (Michael Wacha, 3.56).
Chicago Cubs (1) has a 54.5 chance to beat St. Louis (4).

Cincinnati (Daniel Wright, 5.00) at Los Angeles Dodgers (Mike Bolsinger, 3.73).
Los Angeles Dodgers (5) has a 78.5 chance to beat Cincinnati (30).

San Diego (Andrew Cashner, 3.60) at San Francisco (Jeff Samardzija, 3.24).
San Francisco (8) has a 64.7 chance to beat San Diego (24).

Toronto (R.A. Dickey, 4.66) at New York Yankees (Nathan Eovaldi, 3.73).
New York Yankees (19) has a 52.2 chance to beat Toronto (9).

Los Angeles Angels (Jhoulys Chacin, 5.00) at Texas (Martin Perez, 4.30).
Texas (23) has a 54.7 chance to beat Los Angeles Angels (22).

Cleveland (Josh Tomlin, 4.14) at Chicago White Sox (Chris Sale, 2.79).
Chicago White Sox (16) has a 61.0 chance to beat Cleveland (17).

Baltimore (Chris Tillman, 4.28) at Houston (Doug Fister, 4.19).
Baltimore (13) has a 54.0 chance to beat Houston (21).

Kansas City (Edinson Volquez, 4.25) at Minnesota (Ervin Santana, 4.13).
Kansas City (20) has a 58.1 chance to beat Minnesota (29).

Oakland (Kendall Graveman, 4.31) at Seattle (Nate Karns, 4.40).
Seattle (12) has a 61.3 chance to beat Oakland (25).

Tampa Bay (Jake Odorizzi, 3.59) at Miami (Tom Koehler, 4.37).
Tampa Bay (7) has a 55.5 chance to beat Miami (11).

Philadelphia (Jeremy Hellickson, 4.15) at Detroit (Justin Verlander, 3.69).
Detroit (18) has a 61.6 chance to beat Philadelphia (26).

Colorado (Jorge de la Rosa, 4.39) at Boston (David Price, 2.99).
Boston (2) has a 69.0 chance to beat Colorado (14).

College Football

During the 2015 season, the college football predictions posted here predicted the winner in 76.1% of games (570-179, doesn’t include any FBS vs FCS games).

National Football League

Check out how predicting Super Bowl 50 was the ultimate test between eyes and numbers.

College Basketball

International Soccer