Predictions

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Brief Summary

These predictions are based on the team rankings, which take the margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule. The number in parenthesis next to each team gives its rank.

The predictions include a uniform constant for home field advantage. For more details, click here.

In addition, games are ranked by the quality of the teams and closeness the expected outcome. Think of this as a viewer’s guide. The larger the number in parenthesis next to the game, the more likely you’ll want to watch.

NBA Series Win Probability

Dallas vs San Antonio.
San Antonio, the home team tied 0-0, has a 81.0 percent chance of winning the series.

Portland vs Houston.
Houston, the home team tied 0-0, has a 60.4 percent chance of winning the series.

Golden State vs Los Angeles Clippers.
Los Angeles Clippers, the home team tied 0-0, has a 67.1 percent chance of winning the series.

Memphis vs Oklahoma City.
Oklahoma City, the home team tied 0-0, has a 81.7 percent chance of winning the series.

Atlanta vs Indiana.
Indiana, the home team tied 0-0, has a 81.5 percent chance of winning the series.

Washington vs Chicago.
Chicago, the home team tied 0-0, has a 63.2 percent chance of winning the series.

Brooklyn vs Toronto.
Toronto, the home team tied 0-0, has a 75.9 percent chance of winning the series.

Charlotte vs Miami.
Miami, the home team tied 0-0, has a 85.1 percent chance of winning the series.

NHL Series Win Probabilities

Detroit vs Boston.
Boston, the home team tied 0-0, has a 80.8 percent chance of winning the series.

Montreal vs Tampa Bay.
Montreal, the away team up 1-0, has a 62.7 percent chance of winning the series.

Philadelphia vs New York Rangers.
New York Rangers, the home team up 1-0, has a 74.2 percent chance of winning the series.

Columbus vs Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh, the home team up 1-0, has a 74.6 percent chance of winning the series.

Dallas vs Anaheim.
Anaheim, the home team up 1-0, has a 79.9 percent chance of winning the series.

Los Angeles vs San Jose.
San Jose, the home team up 1-0, has a 72.9 percent chance of winning the series.

Chicago vs St. Louis.
St. Louis, the home team up 1-0, has a 63.0 percent chance of winning the series.

Minnesota vs Colorado.
Colorado, the home team up 1-0, has a 75.1 percent chance of winning the series.

National Basketball Association

First set of playoff games, Saturday and Sunday, April 19 and 20, 2014.

1. Portland at Houston. (0.62)
Houston (4) will beat Portland (7) by 5.2 at home. Portland has a 32% chance of beating Houston.

2. Golden State at Los Angeles Clippers. (0.61)
Los Angeles Clippers (3) will beat Golden State (6) by 6.2 at home. Golden State has a 29% chance of beating Los Angeles Clippers.

3. Dallas at San Antonio. (0.51)
San Antonio (1) will beat Dallas (10) by 8.6 at home. Dallas has a 23% chance of beating San Antonio.

4. Washington at Chicago. (0.50)
Chicago (14) will beat Washington (15) by 5.6 at home. Washington has a 31% chance of beating Chicago.

5. Memphis at Oklahoma City. (0.49)
Oklahoma City (2) will beat Memphis (13) by 8.7 at home. Memphis has a 22% chance of beating Oklahoma City.

6. Brooklyn at Toronto. (0.42)
Toronto (11) will beat Brooklyn (16) by 7.6 at home. Brooklyn has a 25% chance of beating Toronto.

7. Atlanta at Indiana. (0.40)
Indiana (8) will beat Atlanta (17) by 8.7 at home. Atlanta has a 23% chance of beating Indiana.

8. Charlotte at Miami. (0.39)
Miami (5) will beat Charlotte (18) by 9.5 at home. Charlotte has a 21% chance of beating Miami.

National Hockey League

1. Montreal at Tampa Bay. (0.51)
Tampa Bay (10) will beat Montreal (11) by 0.4 at home. Montreal has a 43% chance of beating Tampa Bay.

2. Dallas at Anaheim. (0.47)
Anaheim (2) will beat Dallas (13) by 0.8 at home. Dallas has a 36% chance of beating Anaheim.

3. Detroit at Boston. (0.42)
Boston (1) will beat Detroit (18) by 1.2 at home. Detroit has a 30% chance of beating Boston.

College Basketball

College Football

National Football League