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National Football League, Super Bowl
1. Carolina versus Denver at a neutral site.
Carolina (1) will beat Denver (8) by 3.5 at a neutral site. Denver has a 40% chance of beating Carolina.
National Basketball Association
Games on Thursday, February 11, 2016.
1. Washington at Milwaukee.
Milwaukee (25) will beat Washington (24) by 2.4 at home. Washington has a 42% chance of beating Milwaukee.
2. New Orleans at Oklahoma City.
Oklahoma City (3) will beat New Orleans (21) by 9.9 at home. New Orleans has a 20% chance of beating Oklahoma City.
Games on Thursday, February 11, 2016.
1. Florida State at Syracuse.
Syracuse (37) will beat Florida State (30) by 3.0 at home. Florida State has a 34% chance of beating Syracuse.
2. Oregon at California.
California (36) will beat Oregon (14) by 0.1 at home. Oregon has a 49% chance of beating California.
3. Iowa at Indiana.
Iowa (3) will beat Indiana (20) by 0.9 on the road. Indiana has a 45% chance of beating Iowa.
4. Hofstra at William & Mary.
William & Mary (64) will beat Hofstra (89) by 5.1 at home. Hofstra has a 24% chance of beating William & Mary.
5. James Madison at Charleston.
Charleston (102) will beat James Madison (85) by 2.3 at home. James Madison has a 37% chance of beating Charleston.
6. Connecticut at Temple.
Connecticut (25) will beat Temple (76) by 1.0 on the road. Temple has a 44% chance of beating Connecticut.
7. Northeastern at Towson.
Towson (131) will beat Northeastern (121) by 3.1 at home. Northeastern has a 33% chance of beating Towson.
8. High Point at Coastal Carolina.
Coastal Carolina (134) will beat High Point (122) by 3.1 at home. High Point has a 33% chance of beating Coastal Carolina.
9. Oregon State at Stanford.
Stanford (111) will beat Oregon State (75) by 0.4 at home. Oregon State has a 48% chance of beating Stanford.
10. Wisconsin Milwaukee at Oakland.
Oakland (79) will beat Wisconsin Milwaukee (113) by 6.8 at home. Wisconsin Milwaukee has a 18% chance of beating Oakland.
11. Middle Tennessee State at Louisiana Tech.
Louisiana Tech (141) will beat Middle Tennessee State (130) by 2.9 at home. Middle Tennessee State has a 34% chance of beating Louisiana Tech.
12. Pepperdine at St. Mary’s.
St. Mary’s (28) will beat Pepperdine (117) by 11.8 at home. Pepperdine has a 6% chance of beating St. Mary’s.
13. Illinois State at Evansville.
Evansville (80) will beat Illinois State (148) by 8.7 at home. Illinois State has a 12% chance of beating Evansville.
14. Radford at North Carolina Asheville.
North Carolina Asheville (118) will beat Radford (171) by 6.7 at home. Radford has a 18% chance of beating North Carolina Asheville.
15. Arkansas Little Rock at Louisiana Monroe.
Arkansas Little Rock (50) will beat Louisiana Monroe (154) by 4.3 on the road. Louisiana Monroe has a 27% chance of beating Arkansas Little Rock.
16. Elon at North Carolina Wilmington.
North Carolina Wilmington (60) will beat Elon (163) by 10.9 at home. Elon has a 8% chance of beating North Carolina Wilmington.
17. Green Bay at Detroit.
Detroit (194) will beat Green Bay (153) by 1.3 at home. Green Bay has a 43% chance of beating Detroit.
18. IUPUI at Oral Roberts.
Oral Roberts (181) will beat IUPUI (209) by 4.9 at home. IUPUI has a 25% chance of beating Oral Roberts.
19. Western Illinois at Denver.
Denver (220) will beat Western Illinois (215) by 3.3 at home. Western Illinois has a 32% chance of beating Denver.
20. Canisius at Siena.
Siena (110) will beat Canisius (184) by 8.2 at home. Canisius has a 13% chance of beating Siena.
21. Mercer at Wofford.
Wofford (196) will beat Mercer (136) by 0.3 at home. Mercer has a 48% chance of beating Wofford.
22. Eastern Kentucky at Morehead State.
Morehead State (152) will beat Eastern Kentucky (198) by 6.5 at home. Eastern Kentucky has a 19% chance of beating Morehead State.
23. North Dakota at Eastern Washington.
Eastern Washington (224) will beat North Dakota (216) by 3.2 at home. North Dakota has a 33% chance of beating Eastern Washington.
24. Washington State at Colorado.
Colorado (56) will beat Washington State (180) by 12.6 at home. Washington State has a 6% chance of beating Colorado.
25. VCU at Massachusetts.
VCU (47) will beat Massachusetts (183) by 6.9 on the road. Massachusetts has a 17% chance of beating VCU.
26. Samford at East Tennessee State.
East Tennessee State (167) will beat Samford (211) by 6.1 at home. Samford has a 20% chance of beating East Tennessee State.
27. Cal Poly at Long Beach State.
Long Beach State (98) will beat Cal Poly (188) by 10.0 at home. Cal Poly has a 9% chance of beating Long Beach State.
28. Gonzaga at Portland.
Gonzaga (35) will beat Portland (205) by 8.8 on the road. Portland has a 12% chance of beating Gonzaga.
29. Northern Kentucky at Valparaiso.
Valparaiso (27) will beat Northern Kentucky (214) by 17.3 at home. Northern Kentucky has a 2% chance of beating Valparaiso.
30. UTEP at Florida International.
Florida International (197) will beat UTEP (229) by 5.2 at home. UTEP has a 23% chance of beating Florida International.
31. North Dakota State at South Dakota.
North Dakota State (132) will beat South Dakota (210) by 0.8 on the road. South Dakota has a 46% chance of beating North Dakota State.
32. Georgia Southern at Troy.
Troy (259) will beat Georgia Southern (245) by 3.2 at home. Georgia Southern has a 33% chance of beating Troy.
33. Appalachian State at Texas State.
Texas State (263) will beat Appalachian State (252) by 3.2 at home. Appalachian State has a 33% chance of beating Texas State.
34. Jacksonville at Lipscomb.
Lipscomb (256) will beat Jacksonville (264) by 4.1 at home. Jacksonville has a 29% chance of beating Lipscomb.
35. Loyola Marymount at Pacific.
Pacific (212) will beat Loyola Marymount (244) by 5.5 at home. Loyola Marymount has a 22% chance of beating Pacific.
36. Chattanooga at Western Carolina.
Chattanooga (71) will beat Western Carolina (223) by 6.3 on the road. Western Carolina has a 19% chance of beating Chattanooga.
37. Brigham Young at San Francisco.
Brigham Young (55) will beat San Francisco (231) by 8.0 on the road. San Francisco has a 14% chance of beating Brigham Young.
38. Arkansas State at Louisiana Lafayette.
Louisiana Lafayette (127) will beat Arkansas State (230) by 9.3 at home. Arkansas State has a 11% chance of beating Louisiana Lafayette.
39. UCSB at UC Davis.
UCSB (149) will beat UC Davis (237) by 1.4 on the road. UC Davis has a 42% chance of beating UCSB.
40. St. Francis (PA) at Robert Morris.
Robert Morris (299) will beat St. Francis (PA) (292) by 3.2 at home. St. Francis (PA) has a 32% chance of beating Robert Morris.
41. Sacramento State at Weber State.
Weber State (123) will beat Sacramento State (240) by 10.3 at home. Sacramento State has a 9% chance of beating Weber State.
42. San Diego at Santa Clara.
Santa Clara (213) will beat San Diego (276) by 6.8 at home. San Diego has a 18% chance of beating Santa Clara.
43. Drexel at Delaware.
Delaware (284) will beat Drexel (236) by 1.2 at home. Drexel has a 43% chance of beating Delaware.
44. Georgia State at South Alabama.
Georgia State (176) will beat South Alabama (268) by 1.0 on the road. South Alabama has a 44% chance of beating Georgia State.
45. Quinnipiac at Manhattan.
Manhattan (248) will beat Quinnipiac (289) by 6.2 at home. Quinnipiac has a 20% chance of beating Manhattan.
46. Albany at New Hampshire.
Albany (109) will beat New Hampshire (265) by 5.1 on the road. New Hampshire has a 24% chance of beating Albany.
47. Portland State at Idaho State.
Idaho State (298) will beat Portland State (270) by 1.6 at home. Portland State has a 41% chance of beating Idaho State.
48. New Orleans at McNeese State.
McNeese State (312) will beat New Orleans (325) by 4.7 at home. New Orleans has a 26% chance of beating McNeese State.
49. Presbyterian at Charleston Southern.
Charleston Southern (285) will beat Presbyterian (306) by 5.6 at home. Presbyterian has a 22% chance of beating Charleston Southern.
50. Rice at Charlotte.
Charlotte (204) will beat Rice (288) by 8.3 at home. Rice has a 13% chance of beating Charlotte.
51. Binghamton at Hartford.
Hartford (339) will beat Binghamton (327) by 2.4 at home. Binghamton has a 37% chance of beating Hartford.
52. UAB at Southern Miss.
UAB (112) will beat Southern Miss (286) by 6.3 on the road. Southern Miss has a 20% chance of beating UAB.
53. Longwood at Winthrop.
Winthrop (147) will beat Longwood (287) by 11.6 at home. Longwood has a 7% chance of beating Winthrop.
54. Stony Brook at UMBC.
Stony Brook (82) will beat UMBC (303) by 10.5 on the road. UMBC has a 8% chance of beating Stony Brook.
55. Sacred Heart at Mount St. Mary’s.
Mount St. Mary’s (280) will beat Sacred Heart (315) by 6.7 at home. Sacred Heart has a 18% chance of beating Mount St. Mary’s.
56. Gardner-Webb at Campbell.
Gardner-Webb (207) will beat Campbell (301) by 1.9 on the road. Campbell has a 39% chance of beating Gardner-Webb.
57. Wagner at LIU Brooklyn.
Wagner (202) will beat LIU Brooklyn (302) by 2.1 on the road. LIU Brooklyn has a 38% chance of beating Wagner.
58. Murray State at SIU Edwardsville.
Murray State (186) will beat SIU Edwardsville (304) by 3.0 on the road. SIU Edwardsville has a 34% chance of beating Murray State.
59. Massachusetts Lowell at Maine.
Maine (333) will beat Massachusetts Lowell (295) by 0.1 at home. Massachusetts Lowell has a 49% chance of beating Maine.
60. Farleigh Dickinson at Bryant.
Farleigh Dickinson (282) will beat Bryant (328) by 0.6 on the road. Bryant has a 46% chance of beating Farleigh Dickinson.
61. North Texas at Old Dominion.
Old Dominion (124) will beat North Texas (307) by 14.7 at home. North Texas has a 4% chance of beating Old Dominion.
62. North Florida at Kennesaw State.
North Florida (150) will beat Kennesaw State (308) by 6.1 on the road. Kennesaw State has a 20% chance of beating North Florida.
63. Stetson at NJIT.
NJIT (190) will beat Stetson (318) by 11.8 at home. Stetson has a 6% chance of beating NJIT.
64. Citadel at Furman.
Furman (166) will beat Citadel (320) by 13.4 at home. Citadel has a 5% chance of beating Furman.
65. Northern Colorado at Idaho.
Idaho (232) will beat Northern Colorado (329) by 10.5 at home. Northern Colorado has a 9% chance of beating Idaho.
66. Florida Gulf Coast at South Carolina Upstate.
Florida Gulf Coast (185) will beat South Carolina Upstate (326) by 5.3 on the road. South Carolina Upstate has a 23% chance of beating Florida Gulf Coast.
67. Southeast Missouri State at Tennessee-Martin.
Tennessee-Martin (227) will beat Southeast Missouri State (338) by 11.6 at home. Southeast Missouri State has a 7% chance of beating Tennessee-Martin.
68. North Carolina Greensboro at Virginia Military.
North Carolina Greensboro (247) will beat Virginia Military (341) by 3.8 on the road. Virginia Military has a 30% chance of beating North Carolina Greensboro.
69. UTSA at Florida Atlantic.
Florida Atlantic (281) will beat UTSA (345) by 10.7 at home. UTSA has a 8% chance of beating Florida Atlantic.
70. Wright State at Illinois Chicago.
Wright State (135) will beat Illinois Chicago (343) by 10.6 on the road. Illinois Chicago has a 8% chance of beating Wright State.
71. Northern Arizona at Montana State.
Montana State (266) will beat Northern Arizona (347) by 11.7 at home. Northern Arizona has a 7% chance of beating Montana State.
72. Southern Utah at Montana.
Montana (172) will beat Southern Utah (346) by 16.6 at home. Southern Utah has a 2% chance of beating Montana.
73. Central Connecticut State at St. Francis (NY).
St. Francis (NY) (293) will beat Central Connecticut State (351) by 14.0 at home. Central Connecticut State has a 4% chance of beating St. Francis (NY).
For the 2015 season, my member predictions picked the winner in 76.5% of games (from week 1 through the Army v Navy game).
Major League Baseball
From May 29, 2015 through the World Series, the team with the higher win probability has won 980 of 1751 games for a win percentage of 56.0%.
The team favored by the markets has won 1018.0 of 1751 games for a win percentage of 58.1%.