Hover over a team name or any circle to see my win probabilities for the 2016 NBA playoffs. The numbers come from before the playoffs started.
To see my NBA Finals series win probability, updated after each game, click here.
This interactive visual is a collaboration with Andrew Phillips of Chartball.
These numbers come from combining rankings that use data from games and closing point spreads in the markets. In these type of ensemble rankings, the aggregation of different methods tends to cancel out the small mistakes of either method, leading to better predictions.
I don’t say this enough, but as a relative newby to basketball your work is awesome. I can say it’s true for American football as well.
— unsolicited praise from Simon Cavalini on Twitter.
Chartball turns data into beautiful graphics and interactive visuals. The area of the circles correspond to the likelihood that a team advances through different rounds of the playoffs.
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