Bowl Subdivision Rankings

These preseason rankings are based on a regression model that considers performance over the past 4 years, turnovers in each of these years and returning starters for 2014.

From 2005 through 2012, this preseason model predicted 70.5% of game winners (60.6% in bowl games). To learn more about this model, click here.


RankTeamRatingRecord
1Florida State22.250-0
2Alabama21.200-0
3Oregon18.310-0
4Stanford16.400-0
5LSU15.740-0
6Auburn14.100-0
7Oklahoma13.670-0
8Texas A&M13.570-0
9Georgia12.030-0
10USC12.000-0
11South Carolina11.860-0
12UCLA11.100-0
13Ohio State11.090-0
14TCU10.600-0
15Wisconsin10.130-0
16Michigan State10.050-0
17Oklahoma State9.540-0
18Baylor9.520-0
19Michigan8.820-0
20Washington8.810-0
21Texas8.640-0
22Mississippi State7.980-0
23Brigham Young7.950-0
24Mississippi7.890-0
25Arizona7.720-0
26Florida7.690-0
27Arizona State7.280-0
28Notre Dame7.070-0
29Oregon State7.020-0
30Clemson6.990-0
31Missouri6.690-0
32UCF6.480-0
33Miami (FL)6.230-0
34Virginia Tech6.170-0
35Kansas State6.160-0
36Boise State5.990-0
37Iowa5.380-0
38Houston5.230-0
39Arkansas5.190-0
40Utah5.140-0
41North Carolina4.990-0
42Washington State4.940-0
43Northern Illinois4.520-0
44Northwestern4.050-0
45Nebraska3.820-0
46West Virginia3.610-0
47Cincinnati3.550-0
48Penn State3.160-0
49Pittsburgh3.000-0
50Minnesota2.980-0
51Indiana2.830-0
52Toledo2.750-0
53Louisville2.700-0
54Maryland2.700-0
55Texas Tech2.620-0
56Duke2.610-0
57Navy1.720-0
58Georgia Tech1.240-0
59Fresno State0.990-0
60Syracuse0.650-0
61Bowling Green0.410-0
62Iowa State0.360-0
63Rutgers0.280-0
64Marshall-0.020-0
65Vanderbilt-0.070-0
66Nevada-0.200-0
67Illinois-0.440-0
68Kentucky-0.860-0
69California-0.980-0
70Utah State-1.040-0
71North Carolina State-1.100-0
72Virginia-1.110-0
73Boston College-1.150-0
74South Florida-1.440-0
75Tennessee-1.600-0
76Louisiana Lafayette-1.970-0
77San Jose State-2.610-0
78East Carolina-3.010-0
79SMU-3.400-0
80Temple-3.660-0
81South Alabama-3.800-0
82Georgia Southern-3.800-0
83Kansas-3.960-0
84San Diego State-4.140-0
85Colorado-4.150-0
86Western Kentucky-4.280-0
87Ball State-4.360-0
88Purdue-4.700-0
89Tulsa-4.790-0
90Memphis-4.790-0
91Rice-5.100-0
92Arkansas State-5.470-0
93Army-5.620-0
94Connecticut-5.640-0
95UTSA-5.650-0
96Central Michigan-5.750-0
97Wake Forest-6.150-0
98Buffalo-6.410-0
99Colorado State-6.960-0
100Ohio-6.970-0
101Air Force-6.980-0
102Hawaii-7.030-0
103Troy-7.260-0
104Wyoming-7.290-0
105Louisiana Monroe-7.680-0
106Florida Atlantic-8.210-0
107Western Michigan-8.270-0
108North Texas-8.530-0
109Middle Tennessee State-8.630-0
110Akron-9.030-0
111Kent State-9.150-0
112UNLV-9.700-0
113Tulane-9.750-0
114Louisiana Tech-10.380-0
115UAB-10.810-0
116Old Dominion-11.230-0
117Southern Miss-11.380-0
118Appalachian State-12.720-0
119Idaho-13.500-0
120Florida International-14.140-0
121UTEP-14.750-0
122Massachusetts-15.210-0
123Miami (OH)-15.230-0
124Texas State-16.210-0
125New Mexico-16.700-0
126Eastern Michigan-18.850-0
127New Mexico State-19.030-0
128Georgia State-21.340-0