Bowl Subdivision Rankings

These preseason rankings are based on a regression model that considers performance over the past 4 years, turnovers in each of these years and returning starters for 2014.

From 2005 through 2012, this preseason model predicted 70.5% of game winners (60.6% in bowl games). To learn more about this model, click here.


RankTeamRatingRecord
1Florida State21.870-0
2Alabama20.820-0
3Oregon17.930-0
4Stanford16.020-0
5LSU15.360-0
6Auburn13.730-0
7Oklahoma13.300-0
8Texas A&M13.190-0
9Georgia11.660-0
10USC11.620-0
11South Carolina11.480-0
12UCLA10.730-0
13Ohio State10.710-0
14TCU10.220-0
15Wisconsin9.750-0
16Michigan State9.670-0
17Oklahoma State9.160-0
18Baylor9.150-0
19Michigan8.440-0
20Washington8.430-0
21Texas8.270-0
22Mississippi State7.610-0
23Brigham Young7.580-0
24Mississippi7.520-0
25Arizona7.340-0
26Florida7.320-0
27Arizona State6.900-0
28Notre Dame6.700-0
29Oregon State6.650-0
30Clemson6.620-0
31Missouri6.320-0
32UCF6.100-0
33Miami (FL)5.850-0
34Virginia Tech5.790-0
35Kansas State5.790-0
36Boise State5.620-0
37Iowa5.010-0
38Houston4.850-0
39Arkansas4.810-0
40Utah4.760-0
41North Carolina4.610-0
42Washington State4.570-0
43Northern Illinois4.140-0
44Northwestern3.670-0
45Nebraska3.440-0
46West Virginia3.230-0
47Cincinnati3.180-0
48Penn State2.780-0
49Pittsburgh2.620-0
50Minnesota2.610-0
51Indiana2.450-0
52Toledo2.370-0
53Louisville2.320-0
54Maryland2.320-0
55Texas Tech2.240-0
56Duke2.230-0
57Navy1.340-0
58Georgia Tech0.860-0
59Fresno State0.610-0
60Syracuse0.270-0
61Bowling Green0.040-0
62Iowa State-0.020-0
63Rutgers-0.100-0
64Marshall-0.400-0
65Vanderbilt-0.450-0
66Nevada-0.580-0
67Illinois-0.810-0
68Kentucky-1.230-0
69California-1.350-0
70Utah State-1.410-0
71North Carolina State-1.480-0
72Virginia-1.490-0
73Boston College-1.530-0
74South Florida-1.810-0
75Tennessee-1.980-0
76Louisiana Lafayette-2.340-0
77San Jose State-2.980-0
78East Carolina-3.380-0
79SMU-3.770-0
80Temple-4.040-0
81Kansas-4.330-0
82San Diego State-4.510-0
83Colorado-4.520-0
84Western Kentucky-4.650-0
85Ball State-4.740-0
86Purdue-5.080-0
87Tulsa-5.160-0
88Memphis-5.170-0
89Rice-5.470-0
90Arkansas State-5.850-0
91Army-6.000-0
92Connecticut-6.020-0
93Central Michigan-6.120-0
94Wake Forest-6.520-0
95Buffalo-6.790-0
96Colorado State-7.330-0
97Ohio-7.350-0
98Air Force-7.360-0
99Hawaii-7.410-0
100Troy-7.630-0
101Wyoming-7.670-0
102Louisiana Monroe-8.050-0
103Florida Atlantic-8.590-0
104Western Michigan-8.640-0
105North Texas-8.900-0
106Middle Tennessee State-9.010-0
107Akron-9.410-0
108Kent State-9.520-0
109UNLV-10.080-0
110Tulane-10.120-0
111Louisiana Tech-10.760-0
112UAB-11.180-0
113Southern Miss-11.760-0
114Idaho-13.880-0
115Florida International-14.510-0
116UTEP-15.120-0
117Miami (OH)-15.610-0
118New Mexico-17.080-0
119Eastern Michigan-19.220-0
120New Mexico State-19.410-0