Bowl Subdivision Rankings

These preseason rankings are based on a regression model that considers performance over the past 4 years, turnovers in each of these years and returning starters for 2014.

From 2005 through 2012, this preseason model predicted 70.5% of game winners (60.6% in bowl games). To learn more about this model, click here.


RankTeamRatingRecord
1Texas A&M36.324-0
2Baylor34.443-0
3Oklahoma32.484-0
4Mississippi State26.974-0
5Mississippi26.893-0
6Alabama25.404-0
7Notre Dame25.283-0
8Auburn24.363-0
9TCU20.662-0
10Georgia19.862-1
11LSU19.803-1
12Wisconsin19.762-1
13Duke19.264-0
14Oregon19.234-0
15West Virginia18.202-2
16Utah17.253-0
17Nebraska16.374-0
18UAB16.272-1
19Brigham Young15.274-0
20South Carolina14.883-1
21Louisville14.733-1
22Florida State14.453-0
23Marshall13.844-0
24Georgia Southern13.832-2
25Kansas State13.722-1
26North Carolina State13.714-0
27Maryland13.263-1
28UCLA13.263-0
29Oklahoma State12.852-1
30Georgia Tech12.464-0
31East Carolina11.883-1
32Tennessee11.462-1
33Memphis9.342-1
34Virginia9.132-2
35Arizona State8.903-0
36Florida8.182-1
37Boise State8.163-1
38Virginia Tech7.052-2
39Missouri6.653-1
40Arkansas6.653-1
41Arizona6.614-0
42Miami (FL)6.312-2
43Indiana6.272-1
44Clemson5.921-2
45Michigan State5.862-1
46Purdue5.212-2
47Kentucky5.142-1
48California5.112-1
49Rice4.690-3
50Old Dominion3.763-1
51USC3.602-1
52Nevada3.312-1
53Syracuse3.082-1
54Washington State3.011-3
55Penn State2.704-0
56Pittsburgh1.923-1
57Louisiana Tech1.552-2
58Iowa State1.201-2
59Rutgers1.093-1
60Stanford1.012-1
61Houston0.842-2
62Michigan0.282-2
63Minnesota0.253-1
64UTSA0.161-2
65Washington-0.214-0
66Boston College-0.273-1
67Oregon State-0.633-0
68Cincinnati-0.732-0
69Western Michigan-0.752-1
70Texas-0.771-2
71Colorado State-0.972-1
72Iowa-1.123-1
73Ohio State-1.882-1
74Central Michigan-3.302-2
75Arkansas State-3.652-2
76Western Kentucky-4.151-2
77South Florida-6.092-2
78Middle Tennessee State-6.232-2
79Temple-6.872-1
80UCF-6.921-2
81Navy-7.602-2
82Kansas-8.062-1
83Wyoming-8.083-1
84Bowling Green-8.372-2
85Northwestern-8.531-2
86Miami (OH)-8.610-4
87Hawaii-9.101-3
88Louisiana Monroe-9.202-1
89Northern Illinois-9.523-1
90Illinois-9.723-1
91Utah State-9.722-2
92South Alabama-9.821-2
93Colorado-9.832-2
94Tulane-10.351-3
95Air Force-11.172-1
96Ohio-11.352-2
97Florida Atlantic-11.451-3
98North Carolina-11.602-1
99Ball State-11.801-3
100Akron-12.161-2
101Connecticut-12.341-3
102Vanderbilt-12.621-3
103Wake Forest-12.892-2
104San Diego State-13.091-2
105Troy-13.130-4
106Toledo-13.612-2
107Buffalo-13.892-2
108Louisiana Lafayette-14.001-3
109Texas Tech-14.612-1
110North Texas-14.672-2
111San Jose State-15.531-2
112SMU-16.010-3
113Idaho-16.090-3
114Fresno State-16.131-3
115Southern Miss-16.442-2
116Tulsa-17.301-2
117Army-17.961-2
118UTEP-18.522-1
119Texas State-18.911-2
120Florida International-19.881-3
121Eastern Michigan-20.571-3
122Massachusetts-21.430-4
123Appalachian State-22.671-2
124Georgia State-26.201-3
125Kent State-26.310-3
126New Mexico State-27.262-2
127New Mexico-27.301-2
128UNLV-31.451-3