Cluster Luck

These cluster luck numbers started updating daily again on July 19th, 2016.

In baseball, teams have little control over the clustering of hits. Hence, we can use run creation formulas to estimate a team’s luck in clustering hits.

This table (updated daily) shows cluster luck for MLB teams in units of runs. A positive number implies good luck in all cases, e.g. positive cluster luck on defense implies a team allowed fewer runs than expected.

Rnk Team Total Off Def
1 Los Angeles Angels 72.4 17.3 55.0
2 San Diego 56.2 51.3 4.9
3 Pittsburgh 45.2 0.7 44.6
4 Kansas City 44.7 -2.5 47.2
5 Texas 32.7 17.9 14.7
6 Seattle 30.2 6.2 24.0
7 Houston 29.2 -10.1 39.3
8 Cincinnati 24.0 15.0 9.1
9 Washington 13.3 4.8 8.6
10 Cleveland 9.7 3.2 6.5
11 Baltimore 7.1 -25.2 32.3
12 New York Mets 6.3 -45.8 52.1
13 Chicago White Sox 6.3 -24.6 30.9
14 San Francisco -4.3 -20.8 16.6
15 Chicago Cubs -4.4 4.7 -9.2
16 New York Yankees -5.3 -12.9 7.7
17 Miami -6.5 -30.9 24.4
18 Milwaukee -7.2 -39.8 32.6
19 Toronto -8.6 -12.6 4.0
20 St. Louis -10.2 -5.1 -5.1
21 Colorado -15.1 13.0 -28.1
22 Los Angeles Dodgers -23.3 1.5 -24.7
23 Detroit -24.2 -30.8 6.7
24 Philadelphia -24.6 -14.8 -9.8
25 Oakland -27.8 -6.9 -20.9
26 Tampa Bay -28.9 -33.5 4.6
27 Arizona -30.4 -19.6 -10.8
28 Boston -31.1 -8.4 -22.7
29 Minnesota -44.6 -27.2 -17.4
30 Atlanta -61.3 -25.1 -36.2