Cluster Luck

These cluster luck numbers started updating daily again on July 19th, 2016.

In baseball, teams have little control over the clustering of hits. Hence, we can use run creation formulas to estimate a team’s luck in clustering hits.

This table (updated daily) shows cluster luck for MLB teams in units of runs. A positive number implies good luck in all cases, e.g. positive cluster luck on defense implies a team allowed fewer runs than expected.

Rnk Team Total Off Def
1 Los Angeles Angels 81.2 22.5 58.8
2 San Diego 50.7 48.9 1.7
3 Pittsburgh 44.5 1.6 42.9
4 Kansas City 43.4 -1.6 45.0
5 Seattle 31.1 4.4 26.7
6 Texas 26.1 16.0 10.0
7 Cincinnati 25.8 16.6 9.1
8 Cleveland 24.9 7.7 17.1
9 Houston 20.3 -13.9 34.2
10 Washington 17.0 8.3 8.6
11 Baltimore 11.6 -23.1 34.7
12 New York Mets 7.3 -45.9 53.2
13 Chicago White Sox 2.7 -25.9 28.6
14 Chicago Cubs -0.4 13.0 -13.4
15 New York Yankees -6.2 -14.6 8.5
16 Milwaukee -7.2 -44.0 36.8
17 San Francisco -7.6 -20.5 12.9
18 Miami -7.8 -31.3 23.5
19 St. Louis -7.9 -5.0 -2.9
20 Toronto -18.3 -18.1 -0.2
21 Colorado -18.6 6.5 -25.2
22 Tampa Bay -23.1 -32.2 9.1
23 Philadelphia -26.1 -15.6 -10.4
24 Detroit -26.2 -34.0 7.7
25 Los Angeles Dodgers -26.7 4.7 -31.4
26 Arizona -27.6 -16.7 -10.8
27 Oakland -28.7 -9.6 -19.1
28 Boston -31.9 -11.2 -20.7
29 Minnesota -41.1 -23.7 -17.3
30 Atlanta -58.9 -25.9 -33.0