Podcast: The Top 5 Insights into the 2017 NCAA Tournament

My apologies for how late I’m posting this podcast on the NCAA tournament. Better late than never, but I’ll do this show earlier in the week next year.

In this episode, I dig into the following points:

  • Do streaks matter heading into the tournament?
  • The sneaky talented 8 seed that could wreck your bracket.
  • Which region is the most difficult? Compared with this Region of Death, which is the Region of Eternal Life?
  • The conference of pretenders by the numbers.
  • The unexpected resource that could help you pick a winner.

To listen on iTunes, click here.

To listen on the site, click on the play button.

Podcast: How to Win Your 2017 NCAA Tournament Pool

On this week’s episode, I discuss the research behind my book How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool. Topics include:

  • Can tournament games be predicted at all? You might be surprised how often one particular team wins, and why this matters in small pools.
  • How to pick the right pool. You might as well light your entry fee on fire if you enter the wrong pool.
  • The contrarian approach to winning a medium sized pool that will make sense to no one but you. This is the key to avoiding the luck of others in your pool.

Ryan Peters from Omaha, Nebraska joins me to discuss how he used my methods to win his pool.

Parts of the podcast come from the 2016 audiobook version of How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool.

To listen on iTunes, click here.

To listen here, click on the play button.

Podcast: Adam Stanco on the 2017 NCAA tournament

The Football Analytics Show turns to college basketball for the next month, as Adam Stanco, producer at the Pac-12 Network and true hoops junkie, joins me to talk about the 2017 NCAA tournament. We discuss the following:

  • Adam’s five factors for teams that could win the tournament
  • The prime contender from the West coast with a surprising amount of NBA talent
  • The West coast team on which Adam disagrees with my numbers
  • The highly touted team that might win the tournament if they only had a true point guard
  • How Adam got his break in the sports world

To listen on iTunes, click here.

To listen here, click on the play button.

You can get more basketball content from Adam on his Great Point Podcast.

Podcast: Keith Goldner and the numberFire predictions for the Super Bowl

On this episode of the Football Analytics Show, I’m joined by Keith Goldner, Chief Analyst at numberFire and Director of Analytics at FanDuel. He was also one of Forbes 30 under 30 for young innovators in sports.

On the show, we discuss the following:

  • How Keith broke into the sports world by watching a lot of video
  • The basics behind expected points in evaluating football players and teams
  • The numberFire predictions for the Super Bowl between New England and Atlanta
  • How two models can differ on Atlanta’s pass defense
  • Keith’s perspective on the surprising success of his alma mater Northwestern in basketball

We also have some fun at the end with Keith’s favorite book, meal, etc.

To listen to the show on iTunes, click here.

To listen on the site, click play.

Podcast: Super Bowl Preview of New England vs Atlanta

On this week’s show, I break down the Super Bowl match up between New England and Atlanta. Topics discussed include:

  • How the Super Bowl in 1991 between the Giants and Bills might forecast Bill Belichick’s strategy for this game
  • The success rate of this Atlanta Falcons offense, and how it stacks up against the best NFL offenses of the past 16 years
  • The one statistic, adjusted for strength of schedule, in which neither team excels
  • The relative importance of passing versus rushing for NFL playoff and Super Bowl teams

To listen on iTunes, click here.

To listen here, click on the play button.